TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-10 · 13:30

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability85%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge—
Odds1.18 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim69%
Draw19%
Hamburger SV14%
$39,297 liquidity · $1,005 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim58%1.49—
Match Winner — Draw23%5.40—
Match Winner — Hamburger SV19%7.20—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals63%1.40—
Under 3.5 goals59%1.85—
Over 3.5 goals41%2.11—
Under 2.5 goals37%3.00—
Model-only estimates · 105 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw81%——
Double chance — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Hamburger SV77%——
Draw no bet — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim75%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win58%——
Double chance — Hamburger SV or Draw42%——
Draw no bet — Hamburger SV25%——
Draw23%——
Hamburger SV to win19%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals85%——
Under 4.5 goals77%——
Over 2.5 goals63%——
BTTS — Yes61%——
Under 3.5 goals59%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.551%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals41%——
BTTS — No39%——
Under 2.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals36%——
Over 4.5 goals23%——
Under 1.5 goals15%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals15%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw43%——
Hamburger SV to score 136%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 3+35%——
Hamburger SV to score 032%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet32%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 227%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win to nil26%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 126%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 122%——
Hamburger SV to score 221%——
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 218%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score 012%——
Hamburger SV clean sheet12%——
Winning margin — Hamburger SV by 111%——
Hamburger SV to score 3+11%——
Correct score 1-111%——
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 311%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Hamburger SV win to nil7%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — Hamburger SV by 25%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 45%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Winning margin — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim by 5+3%——
Winning margin — Hamburger SV by 32%——
Winning margin — Hamburger SV by 41%——
Winning margin — Hamburger SV by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win either half71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim44%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to score in both halves42%——
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim38%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
Hamburger SV to win either half36%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win both halves21%——
1st Half result — Hamburger SV20%——
Hamburger SV to score in both halves19%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
HT/FT Draw / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim17%——
HT/FT Hamburger SV / Hamburger SV12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT Draw / Hamburger SV7%——
HT/FT Hamburger SV / Draw5%——
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / Draw5%——
Hamburger SV to win both halves4%——
HT/FT Hamburger SV / TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4%——
HT/FT TSG 1899 Hoffenheim / Hamburger SV2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +2.598%——
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +1.592%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV -2.582%——
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +0.581%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV -1.564%——
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -0.558%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV -0.542%——
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -1.536%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV +0.519%——
Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim -2.518%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV +1.58%——
Handicap — Hamburger SV +2.52%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Adam Daghim (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)44%——
Anytime scorer — Adam Hložek (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)44%——
Anytime scorer — Tim Lemperle (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)32%——
Anytime scorer — Ozan Kabak (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)25%——