FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-10 · 13:30

FC Augsburg v FC Bayern München

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge—
Odds1.20 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
FC Augsburg8%
Draw10%
FC Bayern München83%
$62,178 liquidity · $26,366 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — FC Augsburg39%13.00—
Match Winner — FC Bayern München39%1.23—
Match Winner — Draw26%9.40—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 4.5 goals79%1.95—
Over 2.5 goals61%1.16—
Under 2.5 goals39%5.50—
Over 4.5 goals21%1.99—
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München74%——
Double chance — FC Augsburg or Draw65%——
Double chance — FC Bayern München or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — FC Augsburg53%——
Draw no bet — FC Bayern München47%——
FC Augsburg to win39%——
FC Bayern München to win35%——
Draw27%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals90%——
Over 1.5 goals83%——
Under 4.5 goals79%——
BTTS — Yes64%——
Under 3.5 goals62%——
Over 2.5 goals61%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.552%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%——
Under 2.5 goals39%——
Over 3.5 goals38%——
BTTS — No36%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals34%——
Over 4.5 goals21%——
Under 1.5 goals17%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals10%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw43%——
FC Bayern München to score 133%——
FC Augsburg to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw27%——
FC Augsburg to score 226%——
FC Bayern München to score 225%——
FC Augsburg to score 3+22%——
FC Bayern München to score 022%——
FC Augsburg clean sheet22%——
FC Augsburg to score 020%——
FC Bayern München clean sheet20%——
FC Bayern München to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 119%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 117%——
FC Augsburg win to nil16%——
FC Bayern München win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 212%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 211%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 36%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 35%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 42%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 42%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 5+1%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
FC Augsburg to win either half54%——
FC Bayern München to win either half51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — FC Augsburg31%——
1st Half result — FC Bayern München29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
FC Augsburg to score in both halves27%——
FC Bayern München to score in both halves25%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / FC Augsburg24%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / FC Bayern München21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Augsburg14%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Bayern München12%——
FC Augsburg to win both halves10%——
FC Bayern München to win both halves9%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / FC Augsburg3%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / FC Bayern München2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Augsburg +2.593%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München -2.592%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg +1.583%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München -1.580%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg +0.565%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München -0.561%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -0.539%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +0.535%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -1.520%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +1.517%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -2.58%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +2.57%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards99%——
Under 4.5 cards98%——
Under 3.5 cards92%——
Under 2.5 cards79%——
Most cards — Tie36%——
Most cards — FC Bayern München35%——
Most cards — FC Augsburg30%——
Over 2.5 cards21%——
Over 3.5 cards8%——
Over 4.5 cards2%——
FC Bayern München expected cards1%——
FC Augsburg expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners97%——
Over 8.5 corners95%——
Over 9.5 corners90%——
Most corners — FC Bayern München87%——
Over 10.5 corners84%——
Over 11.5 corners76%——
Over 12.5 corners67%——
Under 12.5 corners33%——
Under 11.5 corners24%——
Under 10.5 corners16%——
Under 9.5 corners10%——
FC Bayern München expected corners10%——
Most corners — FC Augsburg8%——
Under 8.5 corners6%——
FC Augsburg expected corners5%——
Under 7.5 corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls94%——
Under 23.5 fouls91%——
Under 22.5 fouls87%——
Under 21.5 fouls82%——
Under 20.5 fouls75%——
Under 19.5 fouls68%——
Most fouls — FC Bayern München53%——
Most fouls — FC Augsburg38%——
Over 19.5 fouls33%——
Over 20.5 fouls25%——
Over 21.5 fouls18%——
Over 22.5 fouls13%——
Over 23.5 fouls9%——
Over 24.5 fouls6%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Michael Olise (FC Bayern München)62%——
Anytime scorer — Harry Kane (FC Bayern München)51%——
Anytime scorer — Michael Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg)46%——
Anytime scorer — Robin Fellhauer (FC Augsburg)34%——
Anytime scorer — Dayot Upamecano (FC Bayern München)21%——
Anytime scorer — Aleksandar Pavlović (FC Bayern München)21%——
Anytime scorer — Rodrigo Ribeiro (FC Augsburg)19%——