Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-09 · 18:30

Borussia Dortmund v SV Werder Bremen

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge—
Odds1.18 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund71%
Draw17%
SV Werder Bremen13%
$15,761 liquidity · $2,328 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Borussia Dortmund76%1.41—
Match Winner — Draw17%5.80—
Match Winner — SV Werder Bremen8%8.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals63%1.40—
Under 3.5 goals59%1.91—
Over 3.5 goals41%2.04—
Under 2.5 goals37%3.00—
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Borussia Dortmund or Draw93%——
Draw no bet — Borussia Dortmund91%——
Double chance — Borussia Dortmund or SV Werder Bremen83%——
Borussia Dortmund to win76%——
Double chance — SV Werder Bremen or Draw24%——
Draw17%——
Draw no bet — SV Werder Bremen9%——
SV Werder Bremen to win8%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals85%——
Under 4.5 goals77%——
Over 2.5 goals63%——
Under 3.5 goals59%——
BTTS — No52%——
BTTS — Yes48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals41%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.540%——
Under 2.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals36%——
Over 4.5 goals23%——
Under 1.5 goals16%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.58%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
SV Werder Bremen to score 049%——
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet49%——
Borussia Dortmund to score 3+47%——
Borussia Dortmund win to nil44%——
Both score no draw36%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 135%——
Borussia Dortmund to score 226%——
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 222%——
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 121%——
Borussia Dortmund to score 120%——
Winning margin — Draw17%——
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 316%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 213%——
Correct score 2-012%——
Correct score 3-011%——
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 410%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 1-18%——
Borussia Dortmund to score 08%——
SV Werder Bremen clean sheet8%——
Correct score 3-18%——
Winning margin — Borussia Dortmund by 5+7%——
Correct score 4-07%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 15%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 4-15%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 3+4%——
Correct score 5-03%——
SV Werder Bremen win to nil3%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 22%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 30%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 40%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
Borussia Dortmund to win either half84%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
1st Half result — Borussia Dortmund57%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund54%——
Borussia Dortmund to score in both halves51%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
Borussia Dortmund to win both halves36%——
1st Half result — Draw33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
HT/FT Draw / Borussia Dortmund20%——
SV Werder Bremen to win either half20%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
1st Half result — SV Werder Bremen11%——
SV Werder Bremen to score in both halves9%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw9%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / SV Werder Bremen4%——
HT/FT Draw / SV Werder Bremen3%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / Borussia Dortmund3%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / Draw3%——
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / Draw3%——
SV Werder Bremen to win both halves1%——
HT/FT Borussia Dortmund / SV Werder Bremen1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +2.5100%——
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +1.598%——
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund +0.593%——
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -0.576%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -2.567%——
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -1.555%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -1.545%——
Handicap — Borussia Dortmund -2.533%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -0.524%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +0.58%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +1.52%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +2.50%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards97%——
Under 5.5 cards92%——
Under 4.5 cards83%——
Under 3.5 cards66%——
Over 2.5 cards56%——
Most cards — Borussia Dortmund51%——
Under 2.5 cards44%——
Over 3.5 cards34%——
Most cards — SV Werder Bremen26%——
Most cards — Tie24%——
Any red card22%——
Over 4.5 cards17%——
Over 5.5 cards8%——
Over 6.5 cards3%——
2+ red cards3%——
Borussia Dortmund expected cards2%——
SV Werder Bremen expected cards1%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners97%——
Under 11.5 corners94%——
Under 10.5 corners88%——
Under 9.5 corners80%——
Under 8.5 corners70%——
Under 7.5 corners56%——
Most corners — Borussia Dortmund46%——
Over 7.5 corners44%——
Most corners — SV Werder Bremen39%——
Over 8.5 corners30%——
Over 9.5 corners20%——
Over 10.5 corners12%——
Over 11.5 corners7%——
Borussia Dortmund expected corners4%——
SV Werder Bremen expected corners4%——
Over 12.5 corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls86%——
Over 20.5 fouls80%——
Over 21.5 fouls74%——
Over 22.5 fouls66%——
Over 23.5 fouls59%——
Most fouls — SV Werder Bremen52%——
Over 24.5 fouls51%——
Under 24.5 fouls49%——
Under 23.5 fouls41%——
Most fouls — Borussia Dortmund40%——
Under 22.5 fouls34%——
Under 21.5 fouls26%——
Under 20.5 fouls20%——
Under 19.5 fouls15%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Sehrou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund)51%——
Anytime scorer — Fábio Silva (Borussia Dortmund)51%——
Anytime scorer — Felix Kalu Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund)51%——
Anytime scorer — Niclas Füllkrug (SV Werder Bremen)31%——
Anytime scorer — Marco Grüll (SV Werder Bremen)22%——
Anytime scorer — Dariusz Stalmach (SV Werder Bremen)12%——
Anytime scorer — Eren Dinkci (SV Werder Bremen)12%——