1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-24 · 13:30

1. FSV Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability85%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge—
Odds1.18 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
1. FSV Mainz 0554%
Draw23%
SV Werder Bremen23%
$259 liquidity · $0 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Model-only estimates · 154 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SV Werder Bremen75%——
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — 1. FSV Mainz 0561%——
Double chance — SV Werder Bremen or Draw55%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win45%——
Draw no bet — SV Werder Bremen39%——
SV Werder Bremen to win29%——
Draw25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals85%——
Under 4.5 goals77%——
BTTS — Yes65%——
Over 2.5 goals63%——
Under 3.5 goals59%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.554%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals41%——
Under 2.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals36%——
BTTS — No35%——
Over 4.5 goals23%——
Under 1.5 goals15%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.511%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw45%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 134%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 130%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 3+27%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw25%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 225%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 024%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet24%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 120%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 win to nil19%——
SV Werder Bremen to score 3+18%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 016%——
SV Werder Bremen clean sheet16%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 115%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 214%——
Correct score 1-111%——
SV Werder Bremen win to nil11%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 29%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 37%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Correct score 0-24%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 34%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 43%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 5+1%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 41%——
Winning margin — SV Werder Bremen by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win either half62%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
SV Werder Bremen to win either half47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
1st Half result — Draw37%——
1st Half result — 1. FSV Mainz 0537%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score in both halves35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FSV Mainz 0529%——
1st Half result — SV Werder Bremen26%——
SV Werder Bremen to score in both halves26%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / SV Werder Bremen18%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FSV Mainz 0515%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Draw / SV Werder Bremen10%——
SV Werder Bremen to win both halves7%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / Draw5%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / Draw5%——
HT/FT SV Werder Bremen / 1. FSV Mainz 053%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / SV Werder Bremen2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +2.595%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -2.589%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +1.586%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -1.575%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +0.571%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen -0.555%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -0.545%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +0.529%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -1.526%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +1.514%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -2.511%——
Handicap — SV Werder Bremen +2.55%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards100%——
Under 4.5 cards98%——
Under 3.5 cards93%——
Under 2.5 cards80%——
Most cards — SV Werder Bremen54%——
Most cards — Tie33%——
Over 2.5 cards20%——
Most cards — 1. FSV Mainz 0514%——
Over 3.5 cards7%——
Over 4.5 cards2%——
SV Werder Bremen expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected cards0%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners84%——
Under 11.5 corners75%——
Most corners — 1. FSV Mainz 0574%——
Over 7.5 corners73%——
Under 10.5 corners65%——
Over 8.5 corners61%——
Under 9.5 corners52%——
Over 9.5 corners48%——
Under 8.5 corners39%——
Over 10.5 corners36%——
Under 7.5 corners27%——
Over 11.5 corners25%——
Over 12.5 corners16%——
Most corners — SV Werder Bremen16%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected corners6%——
SV Werder Bremen expected corners4%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls94%——
Over 20.5 fouls92%——
Over 21.5 fouls88%——
Over 22.5 fouls83%——
Over 23.5 fouls78%——
Over 24.5 fouls71%——
Most fouls — 1. FSV Mainz 0547%——
Most fouls — SV Werder Bremen45%——
Under 24.5 fouls29%——
Under 23.5 fouls22%——
Under 22.5 fouls17%——
Under 21.5 fouls12%——
Under 20.5 fouls8%——
Under 19.5 fouls6%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Phillip Tietz (1. FSV Mainz 05)55%——
Anytime scorer — Niclas Füllkrug (SV Werder Bremen)55%——
Anytime scorer — Sheraldo Becker (1. FSV Mainz 05)33%——
Anytime scorer — Anthony Caci (1. FSV Mainz 05)33%——
Anytime scorer — Marco Grüll (SV Werder Bremen)33%——
Anytime scorer — Dariusz Stalmach (SV Werder Bremen)18%——