FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin
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Football·Bundesliga· 2026-10-24 · 13:30

FC Augsburg v 1. FC Union Berlin

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability85%
Implied (with margin)85%
Model edge—
Odds1.18 2/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
FC Augsburg56%
Draw23%
1. FC Union Berlin22%
$279 liquidity · $0 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Model-only estimates · 154 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Augsburg or Draw84%——
Draw no bet — FC Augsburg79%——
Double chance — FC Augsburg or 1. FC Union Berlin78%——
FC Augsburg to win62%——
Double chance — 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw38%——
Draw22%——
Draw no bet — 1. FC Union Berlin21%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win16%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals85%——
Under 4.5 goals77%——
Over 2.5 goals63%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Under 3.5 goals59%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals41%——
BTTS — No41%——
Under 2.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals36%——
Over 4.5 goals23%——
Under 1.5 goals15%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals15%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw42%——
FC Augsburg to score 3+37%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 137%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 034%——
FC Augsburg clean sheet34%——
FC Augsburg win to nil29%——
FC Augsburg to score 227%——
FC Augsburg to score 125%——
Winning margin — Draw22%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 122%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 220%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 219%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 312%——
FC Augsburg to score 011%——
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet11%——
Correct score 1-110%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 110%——
Correct score 2-110%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 3+9%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 3-07%——
1. FC Union Berlin win to nil6%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 46%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 1-25%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 25%——
Correct score 4-14%——
Winning margin — FC Augsburg by 5+4%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 31%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 40%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals82%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals77%——
FC Augsburg to win either half74%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals57%——
1st Half result — FC Augsburg47%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
FC Augsburg to score in both halves44%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals43%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / FC Augsburg41%——
1st Half result — Draw36%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win either half33%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
FC Augsburg to win both halves24%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals23%——
Half with most goals — Equal23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals18%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Augsburg18%——
1st Half result — 1. FC Union Berlin18%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score in both halves17%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw11%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / 1. FC Union Berlin10%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FC Union Berlin6%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / Draw4%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / Draw4%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / FC Augsburg4%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win both halves3%——
HT/FT FC Augsburg / 1. FC Union Berlin1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Augsburg +2.598%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg +1.594%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg +0.584%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -2.579%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -0.562%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -1.560%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -1.540%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -0.538%——
Handicap — FC Augsburg -2.521%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +0.516%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +1.56%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +2.52%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards95%——
Under 5.5 cards89%——
Under 4.5 cards77%——
Over 2.5 cards63%——
Under 3.5 cards59%——
Most cards — 1. FC Union Berlin58%——
Over 3.5 cards41%——
Under 2.5 cards37%——
Over 4.5 cards23%——
Most cards — FC Augsburg21%——
Most cards — Tie21%——
Over 5.5 cards11%——
Over 6.5 cards5%——
1. FC Union Berlin expected cards2%——
FC Augsburg expected cards1%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners95%——
Under 11.5 corners91%——
Under 10.5 corners84%——
Under 9.5 corners75%——
Most corners — FC Augsburg67%——
Under 8.5 corners63%——
Over 7.5 corners51%——
Under 7.5 corners49%——
Over 8.5 corners37%——
Over 9.5 corners25%——
Most corners — 1. FC Union Berlin21%——
Over 10.5 corners16%——
Over 11.5 corners10%——
Over 12.5 corners5%——
FC Augsburg expected corners5%——
1. FC Union Berlin expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Under 24.5 fouls93%——
Under 23.5 fouls90%——
Under 22.5 fouls85%——
Under 21.5 fouls80%——
Under 20.5 fouls73%——
Under 19.5 fouls65%——
Most fouls — 1. FC Union Berlin54%——
Most fouls — FC Augsburg37%——
Over 19.5 fouls35%——
Over 20.5 fouls27%——
Over 21.5 fouls20%——
Over 22.5 fouls15%——
Over 23.5 fouls10%——
Over 24.5 fouls7%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Michael Gregoritsch (FC Augsburg)52%——
Anytime scorer — Robin Fellhauer (FC Augsburg)52%——
Anytime scorer — Rodrigo Ribeiro (FC Augsburg)38%——
Anytime scorer — Tim Skarke (1. FC Union Berlin)26%——
Anytime scorer — Emmanuel Latte Lath (1. FC Union Berlin)17%——
Anytime scorer — Leopold Querfeld (1. FC Union Berlin)14%——