1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München
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1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Bayern München
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability84%
Implied (with margin)84%
Model edge—
Odds1.18 2/11
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — FC Bayern München39%2.31—
Match Winner — 1. FSV Mainz 0535%3.10—
Match Winner — Draw26%4.20—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals62%1.50—
Under 3.5 goals60%1.79—
Over 3.5 goals40%2.19—
Under 2.5 goals38%2.80—
Over 3.25 goals—1.93—
Under 3.25 goals—1.95—
Model-only estimates · 155 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München74%——
Double chance — FC Bayern München or Draw65%——
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw61%——
Draw no bet — FC Bayern München52%——
Draw no bet — 1. FSV Mainz 0548%——
FC Bayern München to win39%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win35%——
Draw26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals89%——
Over 1.5 goals85%——
Under 4.5 goals78%——
BTTS — Yes65%——
Over 2.5 goals62%——
Under 3.5 goals60%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.554%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals44%——
Over 3.5 goals40%——
Under 2.5 goals38%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals36%——
BTTS — No35%——
Over 4.5 goals22%——
Under 1.5 goals16%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw45%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 133%——
FC Bayern München to score 132%——
FC Bayern München to score 226%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 226%——
FC Bayern München to score 3+23%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 3+21%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 021%——
FC Bayern München clean sheet21%——
FC Bayern München to score 019%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet19%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 118%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 117%——
FC Bayern München win to nil15%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 win to nil14%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 212%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 211%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 2-27%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 36%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 1-05%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 35%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 42%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 42%——
Winning margin — FC Bayern München by 5+1%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 5+1%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals75%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%——
FC Bayern München to win either half55%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win either half52%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
1st Half result — FC Bayern München32%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
1st Half result — 1. FSV Mainz 0530%——
FC Bayern München to score in both halves30%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score in both halves28%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / FC Bayern München24%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FSV Mainz 0522%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Bayern München13%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FSV Mainz 0512%——
FC Bayern München to win both halves11%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win both halves10%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / Draw5%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / Draw5%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / FC Bayern München3%——
HT/FT FC Bayern München / 1. FSV Mainz 053%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Bayern München -2.593%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +2.592%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München -1.582%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +1.580%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München -0.565%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +0.561%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +0.539%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -0.535%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +1.520%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -1.518%——
Handicap — FC Bayern München +2.58%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -2.57%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Under 6.5 cards100%——
Under 5.5 cards99%——
Under 4.5 cards97%——
Under 3.5 cards91%——
Under 2.5 cards75%——
Most cards — 1. FSV Mainz 0537%——
Most cards — Tie34%——
Most cards — FC Bayern München29%——
Over 2.5 cards25%——
Over 3.5 cards10%——
Over 4.5 cards3%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected cards1%——
Over 5.5 cards1%——
FC Bayern München expected cards1%——
Over 6.5 cards0%——
Any red card0%——
2+ red cards0%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Over 7.5 corners98%——
Over 8.5 corners95%——
Over 9.5 corners91%——
Most corners — FC Bayern München88%——
Over 10.5 corners86%——
Over 11.5 corners78%——
Over 12.5 corners69%——
Under 12.5 corners31%——
Under 11.5 corners22%——
Under 10.5 corners15%——
FC Bayern München expected corners10%——
Under 9.5 corners9%——
Most corners — 1. FSV Mainz 058%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected corners5%——
Under 8.5 corners5%——
Under 7.5 corners2%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls86%——
Over 20.5 fouls80%——
Over 21.5 fouls74%——
Over 22.5 fouls67%——
Most fouls — 1. FSV Mainz 0560%——
Over 23.5 fouls59%——
Over 24.5 fouls51%——
Under 24.5 fouls49%——
Under 23.5 fouls41%——
Under 22.5 fouls33%——
Most fouls — FC Bayern München33%——
Under 21.5 fouls26%——
Under 20.5 fouls20%——
Under 19.5 fouls14%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Michael Olise (FC Bayern München)60%——
Anytime scorer — Luis Díaz (FC Bayern München)52%——
Anytime scorer — Harry Kane (FC Bayern München)52%——
Anytime scorer — Phillip Tietz (1. FSV Mainz 05)50%——
Anytime scorer — Aleksandar Pavlović (FC Bayern München)31%——
Anytime scorer — Sheraldo Becker (1. FSV Mainz 05)24%——
Anytime scorer — Anthony Caci (1. FSV Mainz 05)24%——