1. FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Union Berlin
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1. FSV Mainz 05 v 1. FC Union Berlin
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge—
Odds1.17 1/6
All markets
Model-only estimates · 152 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw80%——
Double chance — 1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Union Berlin77%——
Draw no bet — 1. FSV Mainz 0574%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win57%——
Double chance — 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw43%——
Draw no bet — 1. FC Union Berlin26%——
Draw23%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win20%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals95%——
Under 5.5 goals88%——
Over 1.5 goals86%——
Under 4.5 goals76%——
Over 2.5 goals64%——
BTTS — Yes63%——
Under 3.5 goals58%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.552%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals43%——
Over 3.5 goals42%——
BTTS — No37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals37%——
Under 2.5 goals36%——
Over 4.5 goals24%——
Under 1.5 goals15%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals15%——
Over 5.5 goals12%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%——
Goals range — 7+ goals5%——
Under 0.5 goals5%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw44%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 136%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 3+36%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 030%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet30%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 227%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 126%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 win to nil25%——
Winning margin — Draw23%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 222%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 121%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 218%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score 012%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score 3+12%——
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet12%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 112%——
Correct score 1-110%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 310%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 2-08%——
1. FC Union Berlin win to nil7%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 45%——
Correct score 0-05%——
Correct score 3-24%——
Winning margin — 1. FSV Mainz 05 by 5+3%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 32%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 41%——
Winning margin — 1. FC Union Berlin by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals79%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals79%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win either half72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals54%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals46%——
Half with most goals — 2nd46%——
1st Half result — 1. FSV Mainz 0545%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to score in both halves44%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FSV Mainz 0539%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win either half37%——
1st Half result — Draw35%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 to win both halves22%——
1. FC Union Berlin to score in both halves22%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals21%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals21%——
1st Half result — 1. FC Union Berlin20%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FSV Mainz 0517%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / 1. FC Union Berlin12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT Draw / 1. FC Union Berlin7%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / Draw5%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / Draw5%——
1. FC Union Berlin to win both halves4%——
HT/FT 1. FC Union Berlin / 1. FSV Mainz 054%——
HT/FT 1. FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FC Union Berlin2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +2.597%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +1.592%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -2.582%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 +0.580%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -1.564%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -0.557%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin -0.543%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -1.536%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +0.520%——
Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05 -2.518%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +1.58%——
Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin +2.53%——
CardsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 cards91%——
Over 3.5 cards80%——
Under 6.5 cards68%——
Over 4.5 cards65%——
Most cards — 1. FC Union Berlin64%——
Under 5.5 cards52%——
Over 5.5 cards48%——
Under 4.5 cards35%——
Over 6.5 cards32%——
Any red card22%——
Most cards — 1. FSV Mainz 0521%——
Under 3.5 cards20%——
Most cards — Tie15%——
Under 2.5 cards9%——
1. FC Union Berlin expected cards3%——
2+ red cards3%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected cards2%——
CornersProbOddsEdge
Under 12.5 corners87%——
Under 11.5 corners79%——
Most corners — 1. FSV Mainz 0573%——
Over 7.5 corners69%——
Under 10.5 corners69%——
Under 9.5 corners57%——
Over 8.5 corners56%——
Under 8.5 corners44%——
Over 9.5 corners43%——
Under 7.5 corners31%——
Over 10.5 corners31%——
Over 11.5 corners21%——
Most corners — 1. FC Union Berlin17%——
Over 12.5 corners13%——
1. FSV Mainz 05 expected corners6%——
1. FC Union Berlin expected corners3%——
FoulsProbOddsEdge
Over 19.5 fouls92%——
Over 20.5 fouls88%——
Over 21.5 fouls83%——
Over 22.5 fouls78%——
Over 23.5 fouls71%——
Over 24.5 fouls64%——
Most fouls — 1. FSV Mainz 0557%——
Under 24.5 fouls36%——
Most fouls — 1. FC Union Berlin35%——
Under 23.5 fouls29%——
Under 22.5 fouls22%——
Under 21.5 fouls17%——
Under 20.5 fouls12%——
Under 19.5 fouls8%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Phillip Tietz (1. FSV Mainz 05)54%——
Anytime scorer — Anthony Caci (1. FSV Mainz 05)37%——
Anytime scorer — Sheraldo Becker (1. FSV Mainz 05)26%——
Anytime scorer — Tim Skarke (1. FC Union Berlin)20%——