FC Arouca v Moreirense FC
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Football·Primeira Liga· 2026-08-16 · 15:00

FC Arouca v Moreirense FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Arouca or Draw71%
Double chance — FC Arouca or Moreirense FC70%
Double chance — Moreirense FC or Draw59%
Draw no bet — FC Arouca59%
FC Arouca to win41%
Draw no bet — Moreirense FC41%
Draw30%
Moreirense FC to win29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Moreirense FC to score 137%
FC Arouca to score 135%
Moreirense FC to score 033%
FC Arouca clean sheet33%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
FC Arouca to score 025%
Moreirense FC clean sheet25%
FC Arouca to score 224%
FC Arouca win to nil23%
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 121%
Moreirense FC to score 221%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 117%
FC Arouca to score 3+16%
Moreirense FC win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 213%
Moreirense FC to score 3+10%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 28%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 35%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 33%
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 42%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 41%
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 5+1%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
FC Arouca to win either half56%
Moreirense FC to win either half44%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half result — FC Arouca32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT FC Arouca / FC Arouca25%
FC Arouca to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — Moreirense FC25%
Moreirense FC to score in both halves18%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Moreirense FC17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / FC Arouca15%
HT/FT Draw / Moreirense FC12%
FC Arouca to win both halves11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Moreirense FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Draw5%
HT/FT FC Arouca / Draw5%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / FC Arouca2%
HT/FT FC Arouca / Moreirense FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Arouca +2.596%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -2.593%
Handicap — FC Arouca +1.588%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -1.580%
Handicap — FC Arouca +0.571%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -0.559%
Handicap — FC Arouca -0.541%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +0.529%
Handicap — FC Arouca -1.520%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +1.512%
Handicap — FC Arouca -2.58%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +2.54%