CD Nacional v CF Estrela da Amadora
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Football·Primeira Liga· 2026-08-30 · 14:30

CD Nacional v CF Estrela da Amadora

Recommended bet
CD Nacional or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.34 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — CD Nacional or Draw75%
Double chance — CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora71%
Draw no bet — CD Nacional64%
Double chance — CF Estrela da Amadora or Draw55%
CD Nacional to win45%
Draw no bet — CF Estrela da Amadora36%
Draw29%
CF Estrela da Amadora to win26%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 2.5 goals53%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
CF Estrela da Amadora to score 137%
CF Estrela da Amadora to score 034%
CD Nacional clean sheet34%
CD Nacional to score 134%
Both score no draw33%
Winning margin — Draw29%
CD Nacional win to nil25%
CD Nacional to score 225%
CD Nacional to score 023%
CF Estrela da Amadora clean sheet23%
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 122%
CF Estrela da Amadora to score 220%
CD Nacional to score 3+19%
Winning margin — CF Estrela da Amadora by 115%
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
CF Estrela da Amadora win to nil13%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-09%
CF Estrela da Amadora to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Winning margin — CF Estrela da Amadora by 27%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-24%
Winning margin — CF Estrela da Amadora by 32%
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 42%
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 5+1%
Winning margin — CF Estrela da Amadora by 41%
Winning margin — CF Estrela da Amadora by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
CD Nacional to win either half60%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw43%
CF Estrela da Amadora to win either half41%
1st Half result — CD Nacional35%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT CD Nacional / CD Nacional28%
CD Nacional to score in both halves28%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
1st Half result — CF Estrela da Amadora23%
CF Estrela da Amadora to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Draw / CD Nacional16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT CF Estrela da Amadora / CF Estrela da Amadora15%
CD Nacional to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / CF Estrela da Amadora10%
CF Estrela da Amadora to win both halves5%
HT/FT CF Estrela da Amadora / Draw5%
HT/FT CD Nacional / Draw5%
HT/FT CF Estrela da Amadora / CD Nacional2%
HT/FT CD Nacional / CF Estrela da Amadora2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — CD Nacional +2.597%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora -2.591%
Handicap — CD Nacional +1.590%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora -1.577%
Handicap — CD Nacional +0.575%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora -0.555%
Handicap — CD Nacional -0.545%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora +0.526%
Handicap — CD Nacional -1.524%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora +1.510%
Handicap — CD Nacional -2.59%
Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora +2.53%