Casa Pia AC v Moreirense FC
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Football·Primeira Liga· 2026-08-30 · 17:00

Casa Pia AC v Moreirense FC

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)75%
Model edge
Odds1.34 1/3
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Casa Pia AC or Moreirense FC70%
Double chance — Casa Pia AC or Draw70%
Double chance — Moreirense FC or Draw60%
Draw no bet — Casa Pia AC57%
Draw no bet — Moreirense FC43%
Casa Pia AC to win40%
Moreirense FC to win30%
Draw30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals91%
Under 4.5 goals88%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
BTTS — Yes53%
Under 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals47%
BTTS — No47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.539%
Under 1.5 goals26%
Goals range — 0-1 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Goals range — 4-6 goals24%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Moreirense FC to score 136%
Casa Pia AC to score 135%
Both score no draw33%
Moreirense FC to score 031%
Casa Pia AC clean sheet31%
Winning margin — Draw30%
Casa Pia AC to score 025%
Moreirense FC clean sheet25%
Casa Pia AC to score 224%
Casa Pia AC win to nil22%
Moreirense FC to score 221%
Winning margin — Casa Pia AC by 121%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 117%
Casa Pia AC to score 3+16%
Moreirense FC win to nil16%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Casa Pia AC by 212%
Moreirense FC to score 3+11%
Correct score 0-09%
Correct score 1-09%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 29%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Winning margin — Casa Pia AC by 35%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 33%
Winning margin — Casa Pia AC by 42%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 41%
Winning margin — Casa Pia AC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Casa Pia AC to win either half55%
Moreirense FC to win either half46%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals32%
1st Half result — Casa Pia AC32%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Moreirense FC25%
HT/FT Casa Pia AC / Casa Pia AC25%
Casa Pia AC to score in both halves25%
Moreirense FC to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Moreirense FC18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Casa Pia AC15%
HT/FT Draw / Moreirense FC12%
Casa Pia AC to win both halves11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Moreirense FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Casa Pia AC / Draw5%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Casa Pia AC2%
HT/FT Casa Pia AC / Moreirense FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Casa Pia AC +2.596%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -2.593%
Handicap — Casa Pia AC +1.587%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -1.580%
Handicap — Casa Pia AC +0.570%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -0.560%
Handicap — Casa Pia AC -0.540%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +0.530%
Handicap — Casa Pia AC -1.520%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +1.513%
Handicap — Casa Pia AC -2.57%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +2.54%