CD Nacional v FC Alverca
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CD Nacional v FC Alverca
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — CD Nacional or FC Alverca74%——
Double chance — CD Nacional or Draw73%——
Draw no bet — CD Nacional63%——
Double chance — FC Alverca or Draw54%——
CD Nacional to win46%——
Draw no bet — FC Alverca37%——
FC Alverca to win28%——
Draw26%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals91%——
Over 1.5 goals82%——
Under 4.5 goals81%——
Under 3.5 goals64%——
BTTS — Yes61%——
Over 2.5 goals58%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
Under 2.5 goals42%——
BTTS — No39%——
Over 3.5 goals36%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%——
Over 4.5 goals19%——
Under 1.5 goals18%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%——
FC Alverca to score 135%——
CD Nacional to score 131%——
FC Alverca to score 027%——
CD Nacional clean sheet27%——
CD Nacional to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw26%——
CD Nacional to score 3+25%——
FC Alverca to score 223%——
CD Nacional win to nil21%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 121%——
CD Nacional to score 018%——
FC Alverca clean sheet18%——
Winning margin — FC Alverca by 115%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 214%——
FC Alverca to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-112%——
FC Alverca win to nil12%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — FC Alverca by 28%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 37%——
Correct score 1-07%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 0-15%——
Correct score 3-04%——
Winning margin — FC Alverca by 33%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 43%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 5+1%——
Winning margin — FC Alverca by 41%——
Winning margin — FC Alverca by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
CD Nacional to win either half61%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
FC Alverca to win either half45%——
1st Half result — Draw39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%——
1st Half result — CD Nacional36%——
CD Nacional to score in both halves33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / CD Nacional29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
1st Half result — FC Alverca25%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
FC Alverca to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT FC Alverca / FC Alverca17%——
HT/FT Draw / CD Nacional15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
CD Nacional to win both halves14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Alverca10%——
FC Alverca to win both halves7%——
HT/FT FC Alverca / Draw5%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Alverca / CD Nacional3%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / FC Alverca2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — CD Nacional +2.596%——
Handicap — FC Alverca -2.589%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +1.588%——
Handicap — FC Alverca -1.575%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +0.573%——
Handicap — FC Alverca -0.554%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -0.546%——
Handicap — FC Alverca +0.528%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -1.526%——
Handicap — FC Alverca +1.512%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -2.511%——
Handicap — FC Alverca +2.54%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Ian Luccas (FC Alverca)24%——
Anytime scorer — Vivaldo Semedo (FC Alverca)24%——
Anytime scorer — Lucas Figueiredo (FC Alverca)24%——