Vitória SC v Moreirense FC
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Football·Primeira Liga· 2026-09-19 · 00:00

Vitória SC v Moreirense FC

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 104 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Vitória SC or Moreirense FC72%
Double chance — Vitória SC or Draw68%
Double chance — Moreirense FC or Draw60%
Draw no bet — Vitória SC56%
Draw no bet — Moreirense FC45%
Vitória SC to win40%
Moreirense FC to win32%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Moreirense FC to score 135%
Vitória SC to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Moreirense FC to score 027%
Vitória SC clean sheet27%
Vitória SC to score 225%
Moreirense FC to score 223%
Vitória SC to score 023%
Moreirense FC clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Vitória SC by 120%
Vitória SC win to nil19%
Vitória SC to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 117%
Moreirense FC win to nil15%
Moreirense FC to score 3+14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Vitória SC by 212%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 210%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Vitória SC by 35%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 34%
Winning margin — Vitória SC by 42%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 41%
Winning margin — Vitória SC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Moreirense FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Vitória SC to win either half55%
Moreirense FC to win either half48%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
1st Half result — Vitória SC31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
1st Half result — Moreirense FC27%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
Vitória SC to score in both halves25%
HT/FT Vitória SC / Vitória SC24%
Moreirense FC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Moreirense FC19%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
HT/FT Draw / Vitória SC14%
HT/FT Draw / Moreirense FC12%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
Vitória SC to win both halves11%
Moreirense FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Vitória SC / Draw5%
HT/FT Moreirense FC / Vitória SC2%
HT/FT Vitória SC / Moreirense FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Vitória SC +2.595%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -2.592%
Handicap — Vitória SC +1.585%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -1.580%
Handicap — Vitória SC +0.568%
Handicap — Moreirense FC -0.560%
Handicap — Vitória SC -0.540%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +0.532%
Handicap — Vitória SC -1.520%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +1.515%
Handicap — Vitória SC -2.58%
Handicap — Moreirense FC +2.55%
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Samu (Vitória SC)28%
Anytime scorer — Alioune Ndoye (Vitória SC)28%
Anytime scorer — Gustavo Silva (Vitória SC)28%