Rio Ave FC v CD Nacional
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Rio Ave FC v CD Nacional
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — CD Nacional41%3.22—
Match Winner — Rio Ave FC31%2.34—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.32—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%2.09—
Under 2.5 goals47%1.81—
Over 2.25 goals—1.83—
Under 2.25 goals—2.01—
Model-only estimates · 106 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Rio Ave FC or CD Nacional72%——
Double chance — CD Nacional or Draw69%——
Double chance — Rio Ave FC or Draw59%——
Draw no bet — CD Nacional57%——
Draw no bet — Rio Ave FC43%——
CD Nacional to win41%——
Rio Ave FC to win31%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes58%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals47%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No42%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Rio Ave FC to score 136%——
CD Nacional to score 134%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Rio Ave FC to score 028%——
CD Nacional clean sheet28%——
CD Nacional to score 225%——
Rio Ave FC to score 223%——
CD Nacional to score 022%——
Rio Ave FC clean sheet22%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 120%——
CD Nacional win to nil20%——
CD Nacional to score 3+19%——
Winning margin — Rio Ave FC by 117%——
Rio Ave FC win to nil15%——
Rio Ave FC to score 3+14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 213%——
Winning margin — Rio Ave FC by 29%——
Correct score 1-29%——
Correct score 0-18%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 1-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 36%——
Correct score 2-05%——
Correct score 1-35%——
Winning margin — Rio Ave FC by 33%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 42%——
Winning margin — Rio Ave FC by 41%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Rio Ave FC by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals73%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
CD Nacional to win either half57%——
Rio Ave FC to win either half48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
1st Half result — CD Nacional33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
CD Nacional to score in both halves29%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals27%——
1st Half result — Rio Ave FC27%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / CD Nacional26%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
Rio Ave FC to score in both halves23%——
HT/FT Rio Ave FC / Rio Ave FC19%——
HT/FT Draw / CD Nacional14%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
CD Nacional to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Rio Ave FC12%——
Rio Ave FC to win both halves8%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / Draw5%——
HT/FT Rio Ave FC / Draw5%——
HT/FT Rio Ave FC / CD Nacional3%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / Rio Ave FC2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — CD Nacional -2.595%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC +2.592%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -1.586%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC +1.579%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -0.569%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC +0.559%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +0.541%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC -0.531%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +1.521%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC -1.514%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +2.58%——
Handicap — Rio Ave FC -2.55%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Jalen Blesa (Rio Ave FC)25%——
Anytime scorer — Liziero (CD Nacional)24%——
Anytime scorer — Léo Santos (CD Nacional)20%——
Anytime scorer — Miguel Baeza (CD Nacional)15%——
Anytime scorer — Zé Vitor (CD Nacional)15%——