FC Arouca v CD Nacional
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FC Arouca v CD Nacional
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Model-only estimates · 108 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — FC Arouca or Draw75%——
Double chance — FC Arouca or CD Nacional73%——
Draw no bet — FC Arouca65%——
Double chance — CD Nacional or Draw53%——
FC Arouca to win47%——
Draw no bet — CD Nacional35%——
Draw28%——
CD Nacional to win25%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes56%——
Over 2.5 goals53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
BTTS — No44%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
CD Nacional to score 137%——
Both score no draw37%——
CD Nacional to score 032%——
FC Arouca clean sheet32%——
FC Arouca to score 132%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
FC Arouca to score 226%——
FC Arouca win to nil24%——
FC Arouca to score 3+23%——
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 122%——
CD Nacional to score 221%——
FC Arouca to score 020%——
CD Nacional clean sheet20%——
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 215%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 115%——
Correct score 1-113%——
CD Nacional win to nil12%——
CD Nacional to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 2-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 27%——
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 37%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Correct score 3-05%——
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 43%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 32%——
Winning margin — FC Arouca by 5+1%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 41%——
Winning margin — CD Nacional by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals86%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals63%——
FC Arouca to win either half63%——
Half with most goals — 2nd44%——
CD Nacional to win either half42%——
1st Half result — Draw40%——
1st Half result — FC Arouca37%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals37%——
FC Arouca to score in both halves32%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
HT/FT FC Arouca / FC Arouca30%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals28%——
Half with most goals — Equal25%——
1st Half result — CD Nacional23%——
CD Nacional to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Draw / FC Arouca16%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / CD Nacional15%——
FC Arouca to win both halves15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw14%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals14%——
HT/FT Draw / CD Nacional10%——
CD Nacional to win both halves6%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / Draw5%——
HT/FT FC Arouca / Draw5%——
HT/FT CD Nacional / FC Arouca3%——
HT/FT FC Arouca / CD Nacional2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — FC Arouca +2.597%——
Handicap — FC Arouca +1.590%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -2.589%——
Handicap — FC Arouca +0.575%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -1.574%——
Handicap — CD Nacional -0.553%——
Handicap — FC Arouca -0.547%——
Handicap — FC Arouca -1.526%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +0.525%——
Handicap — FC Arouca -2.511%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +1.510%——
Handicap — CD Nacional +2.53%——
GoalscorersProbOddsEdge
Anytime scorer — Barbero (FC Arouca)55%——
Anytime scorer — José Fontán (FC Arouca)27%——
Anytime scorer — Dylan Nandín (FC Arouca)27%——
Anytime scorer — Liziero (CD Nacional)18%——
Anytime scorer — Léo Santos (CD Nacional)15%——
Anytime scorer — Miguel Baeza (CD Nacional)10%——
Anytime scorer — Zé Vitor (CD Nacional)10%——