Liverpool FC v Club Atlético de Madrid
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Football·UEFA Champions League· 2026-09-09 · 19:00

Liverpool FC v Club Atlético de Madrid

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Liverpool FC56%
Draw24%
Club Atlético de Madrid21%
$92,550 liquidity · $48,778 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Liverpool FC or Draw75%
Double chance — Liverpool FC or Club Atlético de Madrid71%
Draw no bet — Liverpool FC65%
Double chance — Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw54%
Liverpool FC to win46%
Draw no bet — Club Atlético de Madrid35%
Draw29%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win25%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 137%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 036%
Liverpool FC clean sheet36%
Liverpool FC to score 134%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Liverpool FC win to nil26%
Liverpool FC to score 225%
Liverpool FC to score 023%
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet23%
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 122%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 219%
Liverpool FC to score 3+18%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 115%
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 214%
Correct score 1-114%
Club Atlético de Madrid win to nil13%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-09%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score 3+9%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 27%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 36%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 3-04%
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 42%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 32%
Winning margin — Liverpool FC by 5+1%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 41%
Winning margin — Club Atlético de Madrid by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Liverpool FC to win either half60%
1st Half result — Draw43%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win either half40%
1st Half result — Liverpool FC35%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Liverpool FC29%
Liverpool FC to score in both halves27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Club Atlético de Madrid22%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / Liverpool FC17%
Club Atlético de Madrid to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Club Atlético de Madrid15%
Liverpool FC to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / Club Atlético de Madrid10%
Club Atlético de Madrid to win both halves5%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Draw5%
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Club Atlético de Madrid / Liverpool FC2%
HT/FT Liverpool FC / Club Atlético de Madrid2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Liverpool FC +2.597%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -2.591%
Handicap — Liverpool FC +1.590%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -1.576%
Handicap — Liverpool FC +0.575%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid -0.554%
Handicap — Liverpool FC -0.546%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +0.525%
Handicap — Liverpool FC -1.524%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +1.510%
Handicap — Liverpool FC -2.59%
Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid +2.53%