Fenerbahçe SK v AS Roma
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Football·UEFA Champions League· 2026-09-10 · 16:45

Fenerbahçe SK v AS Roma

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge
Odds1.32 1/3
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Fenerbahçe SK28%
Draw28%
AS Roma45%
$42,178 liquidity · $9,310 traded · data from Polymarket
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AS Roma or Draw70%
Double chance — Fenerbahçe SK or AS Roma70%
Double chance — Fenerbahçe SK or Draw60%
Draw no bet — AS Roma57%
Draw no bet — Fenerbahçe SK43%
AS Roma to win40%
Draw30%
Fenerbahçe SK to win30%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — Yes52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — No48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Fenerbahçe SK to score 137%
AS Roma to score 135%
Fenerbahçe SK to score 032%
AS Roma clean sheet32%
Both score no draw32%
Winning margin — Draw30%
AS Roma to score 026%
Fenerbahçe SK clean sheet26%
AS Roma to score 224%
AS Roma win to nil22%
Fenerbahçe SK to score 221%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 121%
Winning margin — Fenerbahçe SK by 117%
Fenerbahçe SK win to nil16%
AS Roma to score 3+16%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 212%
Fenerbahçe SK to score 3+11%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 0-110%
Correct score 1-29%
Winning margin — Fenerbahçe SK by 29%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 0-28%
Correct score 2-17%
Correct score 2-05%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 35%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Fenerbahçe SK by 33%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 42%
Winning margin — Fenerbahçe SK by 41%
Winning margin — AS Roma by 5+1%
Winning margin — Fenerbahçe SK by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
AS Roma to win either half55%
Fenerbahçe SK to win either half45%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half result — AS Roma31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
1st Half result — Fenerbahçe SK25%
HT/FT AS Roma / AS Roma25%
AS Roma to score in both halves24%
Fenerbahçe SK to score in both halves19%
HT/FT Fenerbahçe SK / Fenerbahçe SK18%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
HT/FT Draw / AS Roma15%
HT/FT Draw / Fenerbahçe SK12%
AS Roma to win both halves11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Fenerbahçe SK to win both halves7%
HT/FT AS Roma / Draw5%
HT/FT Fenerbahçe SK / Draw5%
HT/FT Fenerbahçe SK / AS Roma2%
HT/FT AS Roma / Fenerbahçe SK2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — AS Roma -2.596%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK +2.593%
Handicap — AS Roma -1.587%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK +1.581%
Handicap — AS Roma -0.570%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK +0.560%
Handicap — AS Roma +0.540%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK -0.530%
Handicap — AS Roma +1.519%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK -1.513%
Handicap — AS Roma +2.57%
Handicap — Fenerbahçe SK -2.54%