Villarreal CF v SSC Napoli
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Football·UEFA Champions League· 2026-10-13 · 19:00

Villarreal CF v SSC Napoli

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability90%
Implied (with margin)90%
Model edge
Odds1.11 1/9
All markets
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Villarreal CF or Draw79%
Double chance — Villarreal CF or SSC Napoli79%
Draw no bet — Villarreal CF73%
Villarreal CF to win57%
Double chance — SSC Napoli or Draw43%
Draw no bet — SSC Napoli27%
Draw21%
SSC Napoli to win21%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals97%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Under 5.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals72%
BTTS — Yes69%
Under 4.5 goals68%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.561%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Under 3.5 goals48%
Goals range — 4-6 goals43%
Goals range — 2-3 goals38%
Over 4.5 goals32%
BTTS — No31%
Under 2.5 goals28%
Over 5.5 goals18%
Under 1.5 goals10%
Goals range — 0-1 goals10%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.59%
Goals range — 7+ goals9%
Under 0.5 goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw51%
Villarreal CF to score 3+42%
SSC Napoli to score 134%
Villarreal CF to score 226%
SSC Napoli to score 024%
SSC Napoli to score 224%
Villarreal CF clean sheet24%
Villarreal CF to score 123%
Winning margin — Draw21%
Villarreal CF win to nil21%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 120%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 217%
SSC Napoli to score 3+17%
Winning margin — SSC Napoli by 112%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 311%
Villarreal CF to score 010%
SSC Napoli clean sheet10%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-19%
Correct score 3-17%
Correct score 2-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — SSC Napoli by 26%
SSC Napoli win to nil6%
Correct score 1-26%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 46%
Correct score 3-05%
Correct score 3-25%
Correct score 1-05%
Correct score 4-14%
Winning margin — Villarreal CF by 5+4%
Winning margin — SSC Napoli by 32%
Winning margin — SSC Napoli by 41%
Winning margin — SSC Napoli by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals80%
1st Half Under 2.5 goals78%
Villarreal CF to win either half71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals52%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals48%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
Villarreal CF to score in both halves45%
1st Half result — Villarreal CF44%
SSC Napoli to win either half39%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Villarreal CF37%
1st Half result — Draw34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
SSC Napoli to score in both halves24%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals22%
1st Half result — SSC Napoli22%
Half with most goals — Equal22%
Villarreal CF to win both halves21%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals20%
HT/FT Draw / Villarreal CF16%
HT/FT SSC Napoli / SSC Napoli13%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Draw / SSC Napoli8%
SSC Napoli to win both halves5%
HT/FT SSC Napoli / Draw5%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / Draw5%
HT/FT SSC Napoli / Villarreal CF4%
HT/FT Villarreal CF / SSC Napoli2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Villarreal CF +2.597%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +1.590%
Handicap — SSC Napoli -2.580%
Handicap — Villarreal CF +0.579%
Handicap — SSC Napoli -1.563%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -0.557%
Handicap — SSC Napoli -0.543%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -1.537%
Handicap — SSC Napoli +0.521%
Handicap — Villarreal CF -2.520%
Handicap — SSC Napoli +1.510%
Handicap — SSC Napoli +2.53%