Derry City v Waterford FC
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Football·League of Ireland· 2026-07-03 · 18:45

Derry City v Waterford FC

Recommended bet
Derry City or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge
Odds1.20 1/5
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Derry City57%1.49
Match Winner — Draw26%4.60
Match Winner — Waterford FC17%7.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals51%2.20
Over 2.5 goals49%1.73
Over 2.75 goals1.85
Under 2.75 goals1.98
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Derry City or Draw83%
Draw no bet — Derry City77%
Double chance — Derry City or Waterford FC74%
Derry City to win57%
Double chance — Waterford FC or Draw43%
Draw26%
Draw no bet — Waterford FC23%
Waterford FC to win17%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals95%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals87%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals51%
BTTS — Yes50%
BTTS — No50%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Goals range — 4-6 goals26%
Under 1.5 goals24%
Goals range — 0-1 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals13%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Under 0.5 goals9%
Over 5.5 goals5%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Waterford FC to score 042%
Derry City clean sheet42%
Waterford FC to score 137%
Derry City win to nil33%
Both score no draw32%
Derry City to score 130%
Derry City to score 227%
Derry City to score 3+26%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Winning margin — Derry City by 124%
Winning margin — Derry City by 218%
Derry City to score 017%
Waterford FC clean sheet17%
Waterford FC to score 216%
Correct score 1-112%
Correct score 1-011%
Correct score 2-011%
Winning margin — Waterford FC by 111%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Derry City by 310%
Correct score 0-09%
Waterford FC win to nil9%
Correct score 3-07%
Waterford FC to score 3+6%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 1-25%
Correct score 0-15%
Winning margin — Waterford FC by 25%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — Derry City by 44%
Winning margin — Derry City by 5+2%
Winning margin — Waterford FC by 31%
Winning margin — Waterford FC by 40%
Winning margin — Waterford FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals83%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals76%
Derry City to win either half73%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals59%
1st Half result — Derry City46%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
Derry City to score in both halves42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals41%
HT/FT Derry City / Derry City40%
1st Half result — Draw37%
Waterford FC to win either half33%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals25%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
Derry City to win both halves23%
HT/FT Draw / Derry City18%
1st Half result — Waterford FC18%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals17%
Waterford FC to score in both halves16%
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%
HT/FT Waterford FC / Waterford FC10%
HT/FT Draw / Waterford FC7%
HT/FT Waterford FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Derry City / Draw5%
Waterford FC to win both halves3%
HT/FT Waterford FC / Derry City3%
HT/FT Derry City / Waterford FC1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Derry City +2.599%
Handicap — Derry City +1.594%
Handicap — Waterford FC -2.585%
Handicap — Derry City +0.583%
Handicap — Waterford FC -1.567%
Handicap — Derry City -0.557%
Handicap — Waterford FC -0.543%
Handicap — Derry City -1.533%
Handicap — Waterford FC +0.517%
Handicap — Derry City -2.515%
Handicap — Waterford FC +1.56%
Handicap — Waterford FC +2.52%