St Patricks Athletic v Derry City
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Football·League of Ireland· 2026-08-02 · 16:00

St Patricks Athletic v Derry City

Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability77%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge
Odds1.31 3/10
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — St Patricks Athletic43%1.81
Match Winner — Draw30%3.68
Match Winner — Derry City27%5.10
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals55%1.76
Over 2.5 goals45%2.11
Over 2.25 goals1.92
Under 2.25 goals1.92
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — St Patricks Athletic or Draw73%
Double chance — St Patricks Athletic or Derry City70%
Draw no bet — St Patricks Athletic61%
Double chance — Derry City or Draw57%
St Patricks Athletic to win43%
Draw no bet — Derry City39%
Draw30%
Derry City to win27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals90%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Under 2.5 goals55%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
Over 2.5 goals45%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.537%
Under 1.5 goals28%
Goals range — 0-1 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Goals range — 4-6 goals22%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Derry City to score 137%
St Patricks Athletic to score 135%
Derry City to score 034%
St Patricks Athletic clean sheet34%
Both score no draw31%
Winning margin — Draw30%
St Patricks Athletic to score 025%
Derry City clean sheet25%
St Patricks Athletic win to nil24%
St Patricks Athletic to score 224%
Winning margin — St Patricks Athletic by 122%
Derry City to score 220%
St Patricks Athletic to score 3+17%
Winning margin — Derry City by 116%
Derry City win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — St Patricks Athletic by 213%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 0-010%
Derry City to score 3+9%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 2-08%
Winning margin — Derry City by 28%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — St Patricks Athletic by 36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 2-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Derry City by 33%
Winning margin — St Patricks Athletic by 42%
Winning margin — Derry City by 41%
Winning margin — St Patricks Athletic by 5+1%
Winning margin — Derry City by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals70%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals67%
St Patricks Athletic to win either half57%
1st Half result — Draw44%
Derry City to win either half43%
Half with most goals — 2nd42%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half result — St Patricks Athletic33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals30%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT St Patricks Athletic / St Patricks Athletic26%
St Patricks Athletic to score in both halves25%
1st Half result — Derry City23%
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%
Derry City to score in both halves17%
HT/FT Derry City / Derry City16%
HT/FT Draw / St Patricks Athletic16%
St Patricks Athletic to win both halves12%
HT/FT Draw / Derry City11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals10%
Derry City to win both halves6%
HT/FT Derry City / Draw5%
HT/FT St Patricks Athletic / Draw5%
HT/FT Derry City / St Patricks Athletic2%
HT/FT St Patricks Athletic / Derry City2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic +2.597%
Handicap — Derry City -2.592%
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic +1.589%
Handicap — Derry City -1.579%
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic +0.573%
Handicap — Derry City -0.557%
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic -0.543%
Handicap — Derry City +0.527%
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic -1.521%
Handicap — Derry City +1.511%
Handicap — St Patricks Athletic -2.58%
Handicap — Derry City +2.53%