Toluca v Necaxa
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Toluca v Necaxa
Recommended bet
Toluca or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)87%
Model edge—
Odds1.15 2/13
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca65%1.57—
Match Winner — Draw21%4.70—
Match Winner — Necaxa13%6.40—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals62%1.70—
Over 2.5 goals60%1.46—
Under 2.5 goals40%2.58—
Over 3.5 goals38%2.24—
Over 3 goals—1.76—
Under 3 goals—2.12—
Over 3.25 goals—2.03—
Under 3.25 goals—1.82—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toluca or Draw87%——
Draw no bet — Toluca83%——
Double chance — Toluca or Necaxa79%——
Toluca to win65%——
Double chance — Necaxa or Draw35%——
Draw21%——
Draw no bet — Necaxa17%——
Necaxa to win13%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals90%——
Over 1.5 goals83%——
Under 4.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals62%——
Over 2.5 goals60%——
BTTS — Yes55%——
BTTS — No45%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
Under 2.5 goals40%——
Over 3.5 goals38%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals34%——
Over 4.5 goals21%——
Under 1.5 goals17%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals17%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%——
Over 5.5 goals10%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Necaxa to score 040%——
Toluca clean sheet40%——
Both score no draw39%——
Toluca to score 3+38%——
Necaxa to score 137%——
Toluca win to nil34%——
Toluca to score 227%——
Toluca to score 124%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 122%——
Winning margin — Draw21%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 220%——
Necaxa to score 217%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 313%——
Toluca to score 011%——
Necaxa clean sheet11%——
Correct score 2-011%——
Correct score 1-110%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Winning margin — Necaxa by 19%——
Correct score 3-08%——
Correct score 3-17%——
Necaxa to score 3+7%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 46%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Necaxa win to nil6%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Correct score 4-04%——
Correct score 1-24%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+4%——
Winning margin — Necaxa by 24%——
Winning margin — Necaxa by 31%——
Winning margin — Necaxa by 40%——
Winning margin — Necaxa by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals82%——
Toluca to win either half81%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals75%——
Toluca to score in both halves54%——
1st Half result — Toluca54%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals51%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals49%——
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca49%——
Half with most goals — 2nd47%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Toluca to win both halves31%——
1st Half result — Draw31%——
Necaxa to win either half29%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals25%——
Half with most goals — Equal21%——
Necaxa to score in both halves18%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals18%——
HT/FT Draw / Toluca18%——
1st Half result — Necaxa16%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw8%——
HT/FT Necaxa / Necaxa8%——
HT/FT Draw / Necaxa5%——
HT/FT Necaxa / Toluca4%——
HT/FT Necaxa / Draw4%——
HT/FT Toluca / Draw4%——
Necaxa to win both halves2%——
HT/FT Toluca / Necaxa1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca +2.599%——
Handicap — Toluca +1.595%——
Handicap — Toluca +0.587%——
Handicap — Necaxa -2.577%——
Handicap — Toluca -0.565%——
Handicap — Necaxa -1.557%——
Handicap — Toluca -1.543%——
Handicap — Necaxa -0.535%——
Handicap — Toluca -2.523%——
Handicap — Necaxa +0.513%——
Handicap — Necaxa +1.55%——
Handicap — Necaxa +2.51%——