Toluca v Monterrey
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Football·Liga MX· 2026-11-08 · 01:00

Toluca v Monterrey

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge—
Odds1.21 2/9
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca55%1.55—
Match Winner — Draw25%4.25—
Match Winner — Monterrey20%4.90—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals63%1.67—
Over 3.5 goals37%2.08—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toluca or Draw80%——
Double chance — Toluca or Monterrey75%——
Draw no bet — Toluca73%——
Toluca to win55%——
Double chance — Monterrey or Draw45%——
Draw no bet — Monterrey27%——
Draw25%——
Monterrey to win21%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%——
Under 5.5 goals91%——
Over 1.5 goals83%——
Under 4.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals63%——
BTTS — Yes59%——
Over 2.5 goals59%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.548%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%——
BTTS — No41%——
Under 2.5 goals41%——
Over 3.5 goals37%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals33%——
Over 4.5 goals20%——
Under 1.5 goals18%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals18%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals9%——
Under 0.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals4%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%——
Monterrey to score 137%——
Monterrey to score 032%——
Toluca clean sheet32%——
Toluca to score 3+31%——
Toluca to score 128%——
Toluca to score 227%——
Toluca win to nil26%——
Winning margin — Draw25%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 122%——
Monterrey to score 221%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 217%——
Toluca to score 014%——
Monterrey clean sheet14%——
Winning margin — Monterrey by 112%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Monterrey to score 3+11%——
Correct score 2-110%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 310%——
Correct score 2-09%——
Monterrey win to nil8%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 3-16%——
Correct score 0-06%——
Winning margin — Monterrey by 26%——
Correct score 1-26%——
Correct score 3-06%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 44%——
Correct score 0-14%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Monterrey by 32%——
Winning margin — Monterrey by 41%——
Winning margin — Monterrey by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Over 0.5 goals80%——
1st Half Under 2.5 goals78%——
Toluca to win either half72%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals52%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals48%——
Half with most goals — 2nd47%——
Toluca to score in both halves46%——
1st Half result — Toluca45%——
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca39%——
Monterrey to win either half38%——
1st Half result — Draw34%——
Half with most goals — 1st32%——
Monterrey to score in both halves23%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals22%——
Toluca to win both halves22%——
Half with most goals — Equal22%——
1st Half result — Monterrey21%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals20%——
HT/FT Draw / Toluca17%——
HT/FT Monterrey / Monterrey12%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%——
HT/FT Draw / Monterrey7%——
HT/FT Monterrey / Draw5%——
HT/FT Toluca / Draw5%——
Monterrey to win both halves5%——
HT/FT Monterrey / Toluca4%——
HT/FT Toluca / Monterrey2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca +2.598%——
Handicap — Toluca +1.592%——
Handicap — Monterrey -2.584%——
Handicap — Toluca +0.580%——
Handicap — Monterrey -1.567%——
Handicap — Toluca -0.555%——
Handicap — Monterrey -0.545%——
Handicap — Toluca -1.533%——
Handicap — Monterrey +0.521%——
Handicap — Toluca -2.516%——
Handicap — Monterrey +1.58%——
Handicap — Monterrey +2.53%——