Atlante FC v Toluca
Back to board
Football·Liga MX· 2026-08-15 · 23:00

Atlante FC v Toluca

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability79%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge
Odds1.27 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca41%1.58
Match Winner — Atlante FC31%5.90
Match Winner — Draw28%4.20
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%1.85
Under 2.5 goals47%1.96
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Atlante FC or Toluca72%
Double chance — Toluca or Draw69%
Double chance — Atlante FC or Draw59%
Draw no bet — Toluca57%
Draw no bet — Atlante FC43%
Toluca to win41%
Atlante FC to win31%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals93%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals69%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.545%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals29%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals7%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw38%
Atlante FC to score 135%
Toluca to score 133%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Atlante FC to score 027%
Toluca clean sheet27%
Toluca to score 225%
Atlante FC to score 223%
Toluca to score 022%
Atlante FC clean sheet22%
Winning margin — Toluca by 120%
Toluca win to nil20%
Toluca to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 117%
Atlante FC win to nil15%
Atlante FC to score 3+14%
Correct score 1-113%
Winning margin — Toluca by 213%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 29%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Toluca by 36%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-35%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 34%
Winning margin — Toluca by 42%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 41%
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+1%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Toluca to win either half56%
Atlante FC to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
1st Half result — Toluca32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Toluca to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Atlante FC27%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca25%
Atlante FC to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Atlante FC19%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / Toluca14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Atlante FC12%
Toluca to win both halves11%
Atlante FC to win both halves8%
HT/FT Toluca / Draw5%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Toluca3%
HT/FT Toluca / Atlante FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca -2.595%
Handicap — Atlante FC +2.592%
Handicap — Toluca -1.586%
Handicap — Atlante FC +1.579%
Handicap — Toluca -0.569%
Handicap — Atlante FC +0.559%
Handicap — Toluca +0.541%
Handicap — Atlante FC -0.531%
Handicap — Toluca +1.521%
Handicap — Atlante FC -1.514%
Handicap — Toluca +2.58%
Handicap — Atlante FC -2.55%