Atlante FC v Toluca
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Football·Liga MX· 2026-08-15 · 23:00

Atlante FC v Toluca

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.28 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca41%1.58
Match Winner — Atlante FC31%5.75
Match Winner — Draw28%4.20
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals53%1.82
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Atlante FC or Toluca72%
Double chance — Toluca or Draw69%
Double chance — Atlante FC or Draw59%
Draw no bet — Toluca57%
Draw no bet — Atlante FC43%
Toluca to win41%
Atlante FC to win31%
Draw28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes58%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Under 2.5 goals47%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No42%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Atlante FC to score 136%
Toluca to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Atlante FC to score 028%
Toluca clean sheet28%
Toluca to score 225%
Atlante FC to score 223%
Toluca to score 022%
Atlante FC clean sheet22%
Winning margin — Toluca by 120%
Toluca win to nil20%
Toluca to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 117%
Atlante FC win to nil15%
Atlante FC to score 3+14%
Correct score 1-114%
Winning margin — Toluca by 213%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 29%
Correct score 1-29%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 0-18%
Correct score 2-18%
Correct score 0-27%
Correct score 1-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Toluca by 36%
Correct score 2-05%
Correct score 1-34%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 34%
Winning margin — Toluca by 42%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 41%
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+1%
Winning margin — Atlante FC by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals88%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals70%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals66%
Toluca to win either half56%
Atlante FC to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals34%
1st Half result — Toluca32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals30%
1st Half result — Atlante FC26%
Toluca to score in both halves26%
Half with most goals — Equal26%
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca25%
Atlante FC to score in both halves21%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Atlante FC19%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / Toluca15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals12%
HT/FT Draw / Atlante FC12%
Toluca to win both halves11%
Atlante FC to win both halves7%
HT/FT Toluca / Draw5%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Draw5%
HT/FT Atlante FC / Toluca2%
HT/FT Toluca / Atlante FC2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca -2.595%
Handicap — Atlante FC +2.592%
Handicap — Toluca -1.586%
Handicap — Atlante FC +1.579%
Handicap — Toluca -0.569%
Handicap — Atlante FC +0.559%
Handicap — Toluca +0.541%
Handicap — Atlante FC -0.531%
Handicap — Toluca +1.521%
Handicap — Atlante FC -1.514%
Handicap — Toluca +2.58%
Handicap — Atlante FC -2.55%