Guadalajara v Toluca
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Guadalajara v Toluca
Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge—
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Guadalajara42%2.25—
Match Winner — Toluca29%3.00—
Match Winner — Draw28%3.50—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.69—
Under 2.5 goals48%2.10—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Guadalajara or Toluca72%——
Double chance — Guadalajara or Draw71%——
Draw no bet — Guadalajara59%——
Double chance — Toluca or Draw58%——
Guadalajara to win42%——
Draw no bet — Toluca41%——
Toluca to win29%——
Draw28%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%——
Over 0.5 goals92%——
Under 4.5 goals85%——
Over 1.5 goals78%——
Under 3.5 goals70%——
BTTS — Yes57%——
Over 2.5 goals52%——
Under 2.5 goals48%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%——
BTTS — No43%——
Over 3.5 goals30%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%——
Under 1.5 goals22%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%——
Over 4.5 goals15%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%——
Under 0.5 goals8%——
Over 5.5 goals6%——
Goals range — 7+ goals2%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%——
Toluca to score 136%——
Guadalajara to score 133%——
Toluca to score 029%——
Guadalajara clean sheet29%——
Winning margin — Draw28%——
Guadalajara to score 225%——
Toluca to score 222%——
Guadalajara to score 022%——
Toluca clean sheet22%——
Guadalajara win to nil21%——
Winning margin — Guadalajara by 121%——
Guadalajara to score 3+20%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 116%——
Toluca win to nil14%——
Correct score 1-114%——
Winning margin — Guadalajara by 213%——
Toluca to score 3+13%——
Correct score 2-19%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 29%——
Correct score 1-08%——
Correct score 0-08%——
Correct score 1-27%——
Correct score 2-07%——
Correct score 0-16%——
Winning margin — Guadalajara by 36%——
Correct score 2-26%——
Correct score 0-25%——
Correct score 3-15%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 33%——
Winning margin — Guadalajara by 42%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 41%——
Winning margin — Guadalajara by 5+1%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals89%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals69%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals68%——
Guadalajara to win either half56%——
Toluca to win either half45%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half result — Draw43%——
1st Half result — Guadalajara32%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals32%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
Half with most goals — Equal26%——
Guadalajara to score in both halves26%——
HT/FT Guadalajara / Guadalajara26%——
1st Half result — Toluca25%——
Toluca to score in both halves19%——
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca18%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%——
HT/FT Draw / Guadalajara15%——
Guadalajara to win both halves12%——
HT/FT Draw / Toluca11%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Toluca to win both halves7%——
HT/FT Toluca / Draw5%——
HT/FT Guadalajara / Draw5%——
HT/FT Toluca / Guadalajara2%——
HT/FT Guadalajara / Toluca2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Guadalajara +2.596%——
Handicap — Toluca -2.591%——
Handicap — Guadalajara +1.587%——
Handicap — Toluca -1.578%——
Handicap — Guadalajara +0.571%——
Handicap — Toluca -0.558%——
Handicap — Guadalajara -0.542%——
Handicap — Toluca +0.529%——
Handicap — Guadalajara -1.522%——
Handicap — Toluca +1.513%——
Handicap — Guadalajara -2.59%——
Handicap — Toluca +2.54%——