Toluca v Atlas
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Football·Liga MX· 2026-09-12 · 23:00

Toluca v Atlas

Recommended bet
Toluca or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability88%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge
Odds1.13 2/15
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca67%1.50
Match Winner — Draw21%4.10
Match Winner — Atlas12%5.75
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals57%1.68
Under 2.5 goals43%2.06
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toluca or Draw88%
Draw no bet — Toluca85%
Double chance — Toluca or Atlas79%
Toluca to win67%
Double chance — Atlas or Draw33%
Draw21%
Draw no bet — Atlas15%
Atlas to win12%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%
Under 5.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals82%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals57%
BTTS — Yes51%
BTTS — No49%
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals43%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.541%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%
Under 1.5 goals19%
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%
Over 4.5 goals18%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.510%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Atlas to score 044%
Toluca clean sheet44%
Toluca win to nil38%
Toluca to score 3+37%
Atlas to score 136%
Both score no draw36%
Toluca to score 227%
Toluca to score 125%
Winning margin — Toluca by 123%
Winning margin — Draw21%
Winning margin — Toluca by 221%
Atlas to score 215%
Winning margin — Toluca by 313%
Correct score 2-012%
Toluca to score 012%
Atlas clean sheet12%
Correct score 1-110%
Correct score 1-010%
Correct score 2-110%
Correct score 3-09%
Winning margin — Atlas by 18%
Correct score 3-17%
Winning margin — Toluca by 47%
Correct score 0-06%
Atlas win to nil5%
Atlas to score 3+5%
Correct score 4-05%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+4%
Correct score 4-14%
Winning margin — Atlas by 23%
Winning margin — Atlas by 31%
Winning margin — Atlas by 40%
Winning margin — Atlas by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals81%
Toluca to win either half80%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals78%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals56%
1st Half result — Toluca53%
Toluca to score in both halves49%
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca48%
Half with most goals — 2nd46%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals44%
1st Half result — Draw34%
Half with most goals — 1st32%
Toluca to win both halves30%
Atlas to win either half26%
Half with most goals — Equal23%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals22%
HT/FT Draw / Toluca19%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals19%
1st Half result — Atlas14%
Atlas to score in both halves13%
HT/FT Draw / Draw10%
HT/FT Atlas / Atlas7%
HT/FT Draw / Atlas5%
HT/FT Atlas / Draw4%
HT/FT Toluca / Draw4%
HT/FT Atlas / Toluca4%
Atlas to win both halves2%
HT/FT Toluca / Atlas1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca +2.599%
Handicap — Toluca +1.596%
Handicap — Toluca +0.588%
Handicap — Atlas -2.576%
Handicap — Toluca -0.567%
Handicap — Atlas -1.556%
Handicap — Toluca -1.544%
Handicap — Atlas -0.533%
Handicap — Toluca -2.524%
Handicap — Atlas +0.512%
Handicap — Atlas +1.54%
Handicap — Atlas +2.51%