Puebla v Toluca
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Puebla v Toluca
Recommended bet
Toluca or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability83%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge—
Odds1.21 1/5
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Toluca58%1.67—
Match Winner — Draw25%4.30—
Match Winner — Puebla17%5.00—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals67%1.61—
Over 2.5 goals55%1.52—
Under 2.5 goals45%2.45—
Over 3.5 goals33%2.35—
Over 3 goals—1.93—
Under 3 goals—1.96—
Over 3.25 goals—2.02—
Under 3.25 goals—1.75—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Toluca or Draw83%——
Draw no bet — Toluca77%——
Double chance — Puebla or Toluca75%——
Toluca to win58%——
Double chance — Puebla or Draw42%——
Draw25%——
Draw no bet — Puebla23%——
Puebla to win17%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals93%——
Under 5.5 goals93%——
Under 4.5 goals84%——
Over 1.5 goals80%——
Under 3.5 goals68%——
Over 2.5 goals55%——
BTTS — Yes54%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals47%——
BTTS — No46%——
Under 2.5 goals45%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.542%——
Over 3.5 goals33%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals30%——
Under 1.5 goals21%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals21%——
Over 4.5 goals16%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%——
Over 5.5 goals7%——
Under 0.5 goals7%——
Goals range — 7+ goals3%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Puebla to score 038%——
Toluca clean sheet38%——
Puebla to score 137%——
Both score no draw37%——
Toluca win to nil31%——
Toluca to score 3+30%——
Toluca to score 128%——
Toluca to score 227%——
Winning margin — Draw25%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 123%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 218%——
Puebla to score 218%——
Toluca to score 015%——
Puebla clean sheet15%——
Correct score 1-112%——
Winning margin — Puebla by 111%——
Correct score 0-210%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 310%——
Correct score 1-210%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Puebla win to nil8%——
Puebla to score 3+8%——
Correct score 0-07%——
Correct score 0-37%——
Correct score 1-36%——
Correct score 2-15%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Puebla by 25%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 45%——
Correct score 1-04%——
Winning margin — Toluca by 5+2%——
Winning margin — Puebla by 31%——
Winning margin — Puebla by 40%——
Winning margin — Puebla by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%——
Toluca to win either half71%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%——
Half with most goals — 2nd45%——
1st Half result — Toluca44%——
Toluca to score in both halves39%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%——
HT/FT Toluca / Toluca39%——
1st Half result — Draw38%——
Puebla to win either half33%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%——
Half with most goals — Equal24%——
Toluca to win both halves22%——
HT/FT Draw / Toluca18%——
1st Half result — Puebla18%——
Puebla to score in both halves15%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals15%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw12%——
HT/FT Puebla / Puebla10%——
HT/FT Draw / Puebla7%——
HT/FT Toluca / Draw5%——
HT/FT Puebla / Draw5%——
Puebla to win both halves3%——
HT/FT Puebla / Toluca3%——
HT/FT Toluca / Puebla1%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Toluca -2.598%——
Handicap — Toluca -1.594%——
Handicap — Puebla +2.583%——
Handicap — Toluca -0.583%——
Handicap — Puebla +1.565%——
Handicap — Toluca +0.558%——
Handicap — Puebla +0.542%——
Handicap — Toluca +1.535%——
Handicap — Puebla -0.517%——
Handicap — Toluca +2.517%——
Handicap — Puebla -1.56%——
Handicap — Puebla -2.52%——