Molde v Sarpsborg FK
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Football·Eliteserien - Norway· 2026-08-02 · 15:00

Molde v Sarpsborg FK

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.23 2/9
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Molde45%1.67
Match Winner — Sarpsborg FK28%5.65
Match Winner — Draw27%4.40
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals65%1.78
Over 2.5 goals58%1.43
Under 2.5 goals42%2.75
Over 3.5 goals35%2.10
Over 3.25 goals1.88
Under 3.25 goals1.96
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Molde or Sarpsborg FK73%
Double chance — Molde or Draw72%
Draw no bet — Molde62%
Double chance — Sarpsborg FK or Draw55%
Molde to win45%
Draw no bet — Sarpsborg FK39%
Sarpsborg FK to win28%
Draw27%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals94%
Under 5.5 goals92%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 4.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals65%
BTTS — Yes61%
Over 2.5 goals58%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.549%
Goals range — 2-3 goals46%
Under 2.5 goals42%
BTTS — No39%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Goals range — 4-6 goals32%
Under 1.5 goals19%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Goals range — 0-1 goals19%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 5.5 goals8%
Under 0.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals3%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw41%
Sarpsborg FK to score 135%
Molde to score 131%
Sarpsborg FK to score 027%
Molde clean sheet27%
Winning margin — Draw27%
Molde to score 226%
Molde to score 3+24%
Sarpsborg FK to score 223%
Molde win to nil21%
Winning margin — Molde by 121%
Molde to score 018%
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet18%
Winning margin — Sarpsborg FK by 116%
Sarpsborg FK to score 3+14%
Winning margin — Molde by 214%
Correct score 1-112%
Sarpsborg FK win to nil12%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Sarpsborg FK by 28%
Correct score 1-27%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 1-07%
Winning margin — Molde by 37%
Correct score 0-06%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-15%
Correct score 0-24%
Winning margin — Sarpsborg FK by 33%
Winning margin — Molde by 43%
Winning margin — Molde by 5+1%
Winning margin — Sarpsborg FK by 41%
Winning margin — Sarpsborg FK by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals85%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals74%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals61%
Molde to win either half61%
Sarpsborg FK to win either half45%
Half with most goals — 2nd45%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals39%
1st Half result — Draw39%
1st Half result — Molde36%
Molde to score in both halves32%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
HT/FT Molde / Molde29%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals26%
1st Half result — Sarpsborg FK25%
Half with most goals — Equal24%
Sarpsborg FK to score in both halves23%
HT/FT Sarpsborg FK / Sarpsborg FK17%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals16%
HT/FT Draw / Molde15%
Molde to win both halves14%
HT/FT Draw / Draw13%
HT/FT Draw / Sarpsborg FK10%
Sarpsborg FK to win both halves7%
HT/FT Sarpsborg FK / Draw5%
HT/FT Molde / Draw5%
HT/FT Sarpsborg FK / Molde3%
HT/FT Molde / Sarpsborg FK2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Molde +2.596%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK -2.590%
Handicap — Molde +1.587%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK -1.575%
Handicap — Molde +0.572%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK -0.555%
Handicap — Molde -0.545%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK +0.528%
Handicap — Molde -1.525%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK +1.513%
Handicap — Molde -2.511%
Handicap — Sarpsborg FK +2.54%