Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa
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Football·Ekstraklasa - Poland· 2026-09-06 · 15:30

Lech Poznań v Raków Częstochowa

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Lech Poznań41%1.78
Match Winner — Raków Częstochowa31%4.40
Match Winner — Draw28%4.00
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 2.5 goals52%1.66
Under 2.5 goals48%2.16
Over 3 goals2.10
Under 3 goals1.71
Over 2.75 goals1.79
Under 2.75 goals1.92
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Lech Poznań or Raków Częstochowa72%
Double chance — Lech Poznań or Draw69%
Double chance — Raków Częstochowa or Draw59%
Draw no bet — Lech Poznań57%
Draw no bet — Raków Częstochowa43%
Lech Poznań to win41%
Raków Częstochowa to win31%
Draw29%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.544%
BTTS — No43%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.514%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw37%
Raków Częstochowa to score 136%
Lech Poznań to score 134%
Winning margin — Draw29%
Raków Częstochowa to score 028%
Lech Poznań clean sheet28%
Lech Poznań to score 225%
Lech Poznań to score 023%
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet23%
Raków Częstochowa to score 223%
Lech Poznań win to nil20%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 120%
Lech Poznań to score 3+19%
Winning margin — Raków Częstochowa by 117%
Raków Częstochowa win to nil15%
Correct score 1-114%
Raków Częstochowa to score 3+14%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 213%
Winning margin — Raków Częstochowa by 29%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 1-08%
Correct score 1-28%
Correct score 2-07%
Correct score 0-17%
Correct score 2-26%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 36%
Correct score 0-25%
Correct score 3-14%
Winning margin — Raków Częstochowa by 33%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 42%
Winning margin — Raków Częstochowa by 41%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 5+1%
Winning margin — Raków Częstochowa by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Lech Poznań to win either half56%
Raków Częstochowa to win either half47%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
1st Half result — Lech Poznań33%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Lech Poznań to score in both halves27%
1st Half result — Raków Częstochowa26%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Lech Poznań25%
Raków Częstochowa to score in both halves22%
HT/FT Raków Częstochowa / Raków Częstochowa19%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
HT/FT Draw / Lech Poznań15%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Raków Częstochowa12%
Lech Poznań to win both halves12%
Raków Częstochowa to win both halves8%
HT/FT Raków Częstochowa / Draw5%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Draw5%
HT/FT Raków Częstochowa / Lech Poznań3%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Raków Częstochowa2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Lech Poznań +2.595%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa -2.592%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +1.586%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa -1.579%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +0.569%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa -0.559%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -0.541%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa +0.531%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -1.521%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa +1.514%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -2.58%
Handicap — Raków Częstochowa +2.55%