Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok
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Football·Ekstraklasa - Poland· 2026-09-03 · 18:30

Lech Poznań v Jagiellonia Białystok

Recommended bet
Over 1.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)78%
Model edge
Odds1.29 2/7
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Lech Poznań44%1.67
Match Winner — Draw28%4.40
Match Winner — Jagiellonia Białystok28%4.75
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 3.5 goals70%1.66
Over 2.5 goals52%1.48
Under 2.5 goals48%2.52
Over 3.5 goals30%2.16
Over 3 goals1.70
Under 3 goals2.12
Over 3.25 goals1.97
Under 3.25 goals1.85
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Lech Poznań or Draw72%
Double chance — Lech Poznań or Jagiellonia Białystok72%
Draw no bet — Lech Poznań61%
Double chance — Jagiellonia Białystok or Draw56%
Lech Poznań to win44%
Draw no bet — Jagiellonia Białystok39%
Draw28%
Jagiellonia Białystok to win28%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals94%
Over 0.5 goals92%
Under 4.5 goals86%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals70%
BTTS — Yes57%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Under 2.5 goals48%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
BTTS — No43%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.543%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Goals range — 4-6 goals28%
Under 1.5 goals22%
Goals range — 0-1 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals15%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Under 0.5 goals8%
Over 5.5 goals6%
Goals range — 7+ goals2%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Both score no draw36%
Jagiellonia Białystok to score 136%
Lech Poznań to score 133%
Jagiellonia Białystok to score 030%
Lech Poznań clean sheet30%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Lech Poznań to score 226%
Lech Poznań win to nil22%
Jagiellonia Białystok to score 222%
Lech Poznań to score 021%
Jagiellonia Białystok clean sheet21%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 121%
Lech Poznań to score 3+21%
Winning margin — Jagiellonia Białystok by 116%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 214%
Correct score 1-113%
Jagiellonia Białystok win to nil13%
Jagiellonia Białystok to score 3+12%
Correct score 2-19%
Correct score 1-08%
Winning margin — Jagiellonia Białystok by 28%
Correct score 0-08%
Correct score 2-08%
Correct score 1-27%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 36%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 2-26%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 0-25%
Winning margin — Jagiellonia Białystok by 33%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 42%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 5+1%
Winning margin — Jagiellonia Białystok by 41%
Winning margin — Jagiellonia Białystok by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals87%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals71%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals65%
Lech Poznań to win either half59%
Jagiellonia Białystok to win either half44%
Half with most goals — 2nd44%
1st Half result — Draw41%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals35%
1st Half result — Lech Poznań35%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals29%
Lech Poznań to score in both halves29%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Lech Poznań28%
Half with most goals — Equal25%
1st Half result — Jagiellonia Białystok25%
Jagiellonia Białystok to score in both halves20%
HT/FT Jagiellonia Białystok / Jagiellonia Białystok17%
HT/FT Draw / Lech Poznań15%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
Lech Poznań to win both halves13%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals13%
HT/FT Draw / Jagiellonia Białystok11%
Jagiellonia Białystok to win both halves6%
HT/FT Jagiellonia Białystok / Draw5%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Draw5%
HT/FT Jagiellonia Białystok / Lech Poznań3%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Jagiellonia Białystok2%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Lech Poznań +2.596%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok -2.591%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +1.588%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok -1.577%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +0.572%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok -0.556%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -0.544%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok +0.528%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -1.523%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok +1.512%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -2.59%
Handicap — Jagiellonia Białystok +2.54%