Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar
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Football·UEFA Europa League· 2026-09-16 · 19:00

Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar

Recommended bet
Sunderland or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)82%
Model edge
Odds1.22 2/9
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Sunderland54%1.72
Match Winner — Draw28%4.12
Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar18%4.90
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals54%2.28
Over 2.5 goals46%1.71
Over 2.75 goals1.85
Under 2.75 goals1.99
Over 3 goals2.10
Under 3 goals1.71
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Sunderland or Draw82%
Draw no bet — Sunderland75%
Double chance — Sunderland or AZ Alkmaar73%
Sunderland to win54%
Double chance — AZ Alkmaar or Draw46%
Draw28%
Draw no bet — AZ Alkmaar25%
AZ Alkmaar to win18%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 2.5 goals54%
BTTS — No52%
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%
BTTS — Yes48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.535%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.513%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
AZ Alkmaar to score 042%
Sunderland clean sheet42%
AZ Alkmaar to score 136%
Sunderland win to nil33%
Sunderland to score 132%
Both score no draw30%
Winning margin — Draw28%
Sunderland to score 226%
Winning margin — Sunderland by 124%
Sunderland to score 3+23%
Sunderland to score 019%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet19%
Winning margin — Sunderland by 217%
AZ Alkmaar to score 216%
Correct score 1-113%
Correct score 1-012%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 112%
Correct score 2-011%
Correct score 0-010%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil10%
Correct score 2-110%
Winning margin — Sunderland by 39%
Correct score 3-06%
AZ Alkmaar to score 3+6%
Correct score 0-16%
Correct score 3-15%
Correct score 1-25%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 25%
Correct score 2-24%
Winning margin — Sunderland by 43%
Winning margin — Sunderland by 5+1%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 31%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 40%
Winning margin — AZ Alkmaar by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
Sunderland to win either half67%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
1st Half result — Sunderland40%
HT/FT Sunderland / Sunderland35%
AZ Alkmaar to win either half33%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
Sunderland to score in both halves31%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
HT/FT Draw / Sunderland19%
Sunderland to win both halves18%
1st Half result — AZ Alkmaar17%
HT/FT Draw / Draw16%
AZ Alkmaar to score in both halves12%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar11%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
HT/FT Draw / AZ Alkmaar8%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Draw4%
HT/FT Sunderland / Draw4%
AZ Alkmaar to win both halves3%
HT/FT AZ Alkmaar / Sunderland3%
HT/FT Sunderland / AZ Alkmaar1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Sunderland +2.599%
Handicap — Sunderland +1.594%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -2.587%
Handicap — Sunderland +0.582%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -1.570%
Handicap — Sunderland -0.554%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar -0.546%
Handicap — Sunderland -1.531%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +0.518%
Handicap — Sunderland -2.513%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +1.56%
Handicap — AZ Alkmaar +2.52%