AC Milan v Benfica
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AC Milan v Benfica
Recommended bet
Under 3.5 goals
Total goals
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability76%
Implied (with margin)76%
Model edge—
Odds1.32 1/3
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Benfica35%3.50—
Match Winner — AC Milan34%2.15—
Match Winner — Draw30%3.90—
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Over 0.5 goals90%1.03—
Under 2.5 goals54%2.25—
Over 2.5 goals46%1.75—
Under 0.5 goals10%13.00—
Over 2.75 goals—1.91—
Under 2.75 goals—1.93—
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — AC Milan or Benfica70%——
Double chance — Benfica or Draw66%——
Double chance — AC Milan or Draw65%——
Draw no bet — Benfica51%——
Draw no bet — AC Milan49%——
Benfica to win35%——
AC Milan to win34%——
Draw30%——
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%——
Over 0.5 goals90%——
Under 4.5 goals89%——
Under 3.5 goals76%——
Over 1.5 goals73%——
Under 2.5 goals54%——
BTTS — Yes53%——
Goals range — 2-3 goals49%——
BTTS — No47%——
Over 2.5 goals46%——
BTTS Yes + Over 2.538%——
Under 1.5 goals27%——
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%——
Over 3.5 goals24%——
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%——
BTTS Yes + Under 2.515%——
Over 4.5 goals11%——
Under 0.5 goals10%——
Over 5.5 goals4%——
Goals range — 7+ goals1%——
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
AC Milan to score 136%——
Benfica to score 136%——
Both score no draw32%——
Winning margin — Draw30%——
AC Milan to score 029%——
Benfica clean sheet29%——
Benfica to score 028%——
AC Milan clean sheet28%——
Benfica to score 223%——
AC Milan to score 222%——
Winning margin — Benfica by 119%——
Benfica win to nil19%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 119%——
AC Milan win to nil18%——
Correct score 1-115%——
Benfica to score 3+13%——
AC Milan to score 3+13%——
Winning margin — Benfica by 211%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 210%——
Correct score 0-010%——
Correct score 0-19%——
Correct score 1-09%——
Correct score 1-28%——
Correct score 2-18%——
Correct score 0-27%——
Correct score 2-06%——
Correct score 2-25%——
Winning margin — Benfica by 34%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 34%——
Correct score 1-33%——
Winning margin — Benfica by 41%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 41%——
Winning margin — Benfica by 5+0%——
Winning margin — AC Milan by 5+0%——
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%——
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%——
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%——
Benfica to win either half51%——
AC Milan to win either half50%——
1st Half result — Draw44%——
Half with most goals — 2nd43%——
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%——
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%——
Half with most goals — 1st31%——
1st Half result — Benfica29%——
1st Half result — AC Milan28%——
Half with most goals — Equal27%——
Benfica to score in both halves22%——
HT/FT Benfica / Benfica22%——
AC Milan to score in both halves21%——
HT/FT AC Milan / AC Milan21%——
HT/FT Draw / Draw17%——
HT/FT Draw / Benfica14%——
HT/FT Draw / AC Milan13%——
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%——
Benfica to win both halves9%——
AC Milan to win both halves8%——
HT/FT Benfica / Draw5%——
HT/FT AC Milan / Draw5%——
HT/FT Benfica / AC Milan2%——
HT/FT AC Milan / Benfica2%——
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Benfica -2.595%——
Handicap — AC Milan +2.595%——
Handicap — Benfica -1.585%——
Handicap — AC Milan +1.584%——
Handicap — Benfica -0.566%——
Handicap — AC Milan +0.565%——
Handicap — Benfica +0.535%——
Handicap — AC Milan -0.534%——
Handicap — Benfica +1.516%——
Handicap — AC Milan -1.515%——
Handicap — Benfica +2.56%——
Handicap — AC Milan -2.55%——