Crystal Palace v Lech Poznań
Back to board
Football·UEFA Europa League· 2026-09-17 · 19:00

Crystal Palace v Lech Poznań

Recommended bet
Crystal Palace or Draw
Double chance
De-vigged fair price from the marketLow
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)86%
Model edge
Odds1.16 2/13
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Match Winner — Crystal Palace61%1.45
Match Winner — Draw26%5.00
Match Winner — Lech Poznań14%8.10
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 2.5 goals54%2.28
Over 2.5 goals46%1.71
Over 2.75 goals1.86
Under 2.75 goals1.98
Over 3 goals2.12
Under 3 goals1.70
Model-only estimates · 101 markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Double chance — Crystal Palace or Draw87%
Draw no bet — Crystal Palace82%
Double chance — Crystal Palace or Lech Poznań75%
Crystal Palace to win61%
Double chance — Lech Poznań or Draw39%
Draw26%
Draw no bet — Lech Poznań18%
Lech Poznań to win14%
GoalsProbOddsEdge
Under 5.5 goals96%
Over 0.5 goals90%
Under 4.5 goals89%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals73%
BTTS — No56%
Under 2.5 goals54%
Goals range — 2-3 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
BTTS — Yes44%
BTTS Yes + Over 2.532%
Under 1.5 goals27%
Goals range — 0-1 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Goals range — 4-6 goals23%
BTTS Yes + Under 2.512%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Under 0.5 goals10%
Over 5.5 goals4%
Goals range — 7+ goals1%
Score & marginProbOddsEdge
Lech Poznań to score 048%
Crystal Palace clean sheet48%
Crystal Palace win to nil39%
Lech Poznań to score 135%
Crystal Palace to score 130%
Both score no draw28%
Crystal Palace to score 227%
Crystal Palace to score 3+26%
Winning margin — Draw26%
Winning margin — Crystal Palace by 125%
Winning margin — Crystal Palace by 219%
Crystal Palace to score 017%
Lech Poznań clean sheet17%
Correct score 1-013%
Correct score 2-013%
Lech Poznań to score 213%
Correct score 1-112%
Winning margin — Crystal Palace by 310%
Correct score 0-010%
Correct score 2-19%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 19%
Correct score 3-08%
Lech Poznań win to nil7%
Correct score 3-16%
Correct score 0-15%
Winning margin — Crystal Palace by 44%
Correct score 1-24%
Lech Poznań to score 3+4%
Correct score 2-23%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 23%
Winning margin — Crystal Palace by 5+2%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 31%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 40%
Winning margin — Lech Poznań by 5+0%
HalvesProbOddsEdge
1st Half Under 2.5 goals90%
Crystal Palace to win either half72%
1st Half Under 1.5 goals69%
1st Half Over 0.5 goals68%
1st Half result — Crystal Palace44%
Half with most goals — 2nd43%
1st Half result — Draw42%
HT/FT Crystal Palace / Crystal Palace40%
Crystal Palace to score in both halves34%
1st Half Under 0.5 goals33%
1st Half Over 1.5 goals31%
Half with most goals — 1st31%
Lech Poznań to win either half27%
Half with most goals — Equal27%
Crystal Palace to win both halves22%
HT/FT Draw / Crystal Palace20%
HT/FT Draw / Draw15%
1st Half result — Lech Poznań14%
1st Half Over 2.5 goals11%
Lech Poznań to score in both halves9%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Lech Poznań8%
HT/FT Draw / Lech Poznań6%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Draw4%
HT/FT Crystal Palace / Draw4%
HT/FT Lech Poznań / Crystal Palace2%
Lech Poznań to win both halves2%
HT/FT Crystal Palace / Lech Poznań1%
HandicapsProbOddsEdge
Handicap — Crystal Palace +2.599%
Handicap — Crystal Palace +1.596%
Handicap — Crystal Palace +0.587%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -2.583%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -1.564%
Handicap — Crystal Palace -0.561%
Handicap — Lech Poznań -0.539%
Handicap — Crystal Palace -1.536%
Handicap — Crystal Palace -2.517%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +0.514%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +1.54%
Handicap — Lech Poznań +2.51%