Alex de Minaur v Brandon Nakashima
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Tennis·ATP Queen's Club Championships· 2026-06-19 · 08:00

Alex de Minaur v Brandon Nakashima

Recommended bet
Alex de Minaur
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability69%
Implied (with margin)71%
Model edge-2.7%
Odds1.40 2/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Alex de Minaur70%
Brandon Nakashima30%
$29,963 liquidity · $703 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Alex de Minaur double-faults on 3% of serve points vs Brandon Nakashima's 2%
  • Alex de Minaur wins 40% of return points vs Brandon Nakashima's 35%
  • Brandon Nakashima serves aces on 11% of points vs Alex de Minaur's 6%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Alex de Minaur to win68%1.47—
Brandon Nakashima to win32%3.13—
Match Winner — Alex de Minaur—1.42—
Match Winner — Brandon Nakashima—3.18—