Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-04 · 15:00

Alex Michelsen v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Recommended bet

Alex Michelsen

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability59%

Implied (with margin)63%

Model edge-5.3%

Odds1.60 8/13

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Alex Michelsen60%

Daniel Merida Aguilar40%

$31,795 liquidity · $483 traded · data from Polymarket

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Alex Michelsen to win53%1.90—

Daniel Merida Aguilar to win47%2.11—

Match Winner — Alex Michelsen—1.60—

Match Winner — Daniel Merida Aguilar—2.60—