Alexander Zverev v Raphael Collignon
Back to board
Tennis·ATP Halle Open· 2026-06-19 · 11:30

Alexander Zverev v Raphael Collignon

Recommended bet
Alexander Zverev
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability81%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge-2.0%
Odds1.21 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Alexander Zverev81%
Raphael Collignon19%
$1,576 liquidity · $21 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Alexander Zverev holds serve 87% of games vs Raphael Collignon's 80%
  • Raphael Collignon wins only 46% of 2nd-serve points (Alexander Zverev: 54%)
  • Raphael Collignon double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Alexander Zverev's 3%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Alexander Zverev to win75%1.33—
Raphael Collignon to win25%3.99—
Match Winner — Alexander Zverev—1.21—
Match Winner — Raphael Collignon—5.43—