Alexandra Eala v Elise Mertens
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Tennis·WTA Bad Homburg Open· 2026-06-22 · 15:30

Alexandra Eala v Elise Mertens

Recommended bet
Elise Mertens
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability54%
Implied (with margin)54%
Model edge+0.2%
Odds1.85 5/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Alexandra Eala48%
Elise Mertens53%
$15,353 liquidity · $12,223 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Elise Mertens holds serve 71% of games vs Alexandra Eala's 62%
  • Elise Mertens double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Alexandra Eala's 4%
  • Elise Mertens serves aces on 6% of points vs Alexandra Eala's 1%
Best valueElise Mertens+7.4% EV@ 1.85highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Elise Mertens to win58%1.72—
Alexandra Eala to win42%2.39—
Match Winner — Alexandra Eala—2.16—
Match Winner — Elise Mertens—1.85—