Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-03 · 15:00

Alexei Popyrin v Alejandro Tabilo

Recommended bet

Alejandro Tabilo

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketMed

Win probability59%

Implied (with margin)58%

Model edge+1.1%

Odds1.72 8/11

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Alexei Popyrin43%

Alejandro Tabilo57%

$103,182 liquidity · $10,845 traded · data from Polymarket

Best valueAlejandro Tabilo+8.5% EV@ 1.72highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Alejandro Tabilo to win63%1.59—

Alexei Popyrin to win37%2.71—

Match Winner — Alejandro Tabilo—1.72—

Match Winner — Alexei Popyrin—2.36—