Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-03 · 15:00

Alexei Popyrin v Roman Andres Burruchaga

Recommended bet
Alexei Popyrin
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability54%
Implied (with margin)60%
Model edge-10.1%
Odds1.66 4/6
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Alexei Popyrin59%
Roman Andres Burruchaga42%
$41,777 liquidity · $206 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Alexei Popyrin holds serve 83% of games vs Roman Andres Burruchaga's 76%
  • Roman Andres Burruchaga wins 40% of return points vs Alexei Popyrin's 34%
  • Alexei Popyrin serves aces on 11% of points vs Roman Andres Burruchaga's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Roman Andres Burruchaga to win58%1.71—
Alexei Popyrin to win42%2.40—
Match Winner — Alexei Popyrin—1.66—
Match Winner — Roman Andres Burruchaga—2.42—