Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-01 · 17:00

Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja

Recommended bet

Anastasia Potapova

Match winner

De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh

Win probability75%

Implied (with margin)80%

Model edge-6.0%

Odds1.25 1/4

Crowd odds — Polymarket

Anastasia Potapova79%

Darja Semenistaja22%

$52,095 liquidity · $302 traded · data from Polymarket

Why the model leans this way

Anastasia Potapova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Darja Semenistaja's 4%
Anastasia Potapova saves 58% of break points vs Darja Semenistaja's 49%

All markets

Match winnerProbOddsEdge

Anastasia Potapova to win62%1.61—

Darja Semenistaja to win38%2.65—

Match Winner — Anastasia Potapova—1.25—

Match Winner — Darja Semenistaja—4.60—