Ann Li v Ekaterina Alexandrova
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Tennis·WTA Bad Homburg Open· 2026-06-23 · 09:00

Ann Li v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Recommended bet
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability56%
Implied (with margin)58%
Model edge-3.7%
Odds1.72 8/11
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Ann Li44%
Ekaterina Alexandrova56%
$18,876 liquidity · $2,415 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Ekaterina Alexandrova double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Ann Li's 3%
Best valueAnn Li+8.7% EV@ 2.30highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Ekaterina Alexandrova to win53%1.90—
Ann Li to win47%2.12—
Match Winner — Ann Li—2.30—
Match Winner — Ekaterina Alexandrova—1.72—