Arthur Rinderknech v Francisco Cerundolo
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Tennis·ATP Paris Masters· 2026-11-03 · 10:00

Arthur Rinderknech v Francisco Cerundolo

Recommended bet
Francisco Cerundolo
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability65%
Implied (with margin)65%
Model edge-0.7%
Odds1.54 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Arthur Rinderknech36%
Francisco Cerundolo65%
$34,738 liquidity · $5,013 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Arthur Rinderknech holds serve 85% of games vs Francisco Cerundolo's 77%
  • Francisco Cerundolo wins 40% of return points vs Arthur Rinderknech's 33%
  • Arthur Rinderknech serves aces on 12% of points vs Francisco Cerundolo's 5%
Best valueArthur Rinderknech+8.9% EV@ 2.84highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Francisco Cerundolo to win62%1.62—
Arthur Rinderknech to win38%2.61—
Match Winner — Arthur Rinderknech—2.88—
Match Winner — Francisco Cerundolo—1.54—