Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
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Aryna Sabalenka v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge-2.4%
Odds1.13 2/15
Why the model leans this way
- Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Ekaterina Alexandrova's 71%
- Ekaterina Alexandrova wins only 45% of 2nd-serve points (Aryna Sabalenka: 51%)
- Ekaterina Alexandrova double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Aryna Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win86%1.17—
Ekaterina Alexandrova to win14%6.91—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.13—
Match Winner — Ekaterina Alexandrova—6.70—