Aryna Sabalenka v Jelena Ostapenko
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Aryna Sabalenka v Jelena Ostapenko
Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability78%
Implied (with margin)79%
Model edge-1.3%
Odds1.26 1/4
Why the model leans this way
- Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Jelena Ostapenko's 65%
- Jelena Ostapenko wins only 43% of 2nd-serve points (Aryna Sabalenka: 51%)
- Jelena Ostapenko double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Aryna Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win79%1.26—
Jelena Ostapenko to win21%4.83—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.26—
Match Winner — Jelena Ostapenko—4.62—