Aryna Sabalenka v Kamilla Rakhimova
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Tennis·WTA US Open· 2026-09-04 · 15:00

Aryna Sabalenka v Kamilla Rakhimova

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability93%
Implied (with margin)93%
Model edge-1.0%
Odds1.07 1/14
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Aryna Sabalenka93%
Kamilla Rakhimova7%
$19,937 liquidity · $2,844 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Kamilla Rakhimova's 61%
  • Kamilla Rakhimova wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Aryna Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Kamilla Rakhimova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Aryna Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win89%1.13—
Kamilla Rakhimova to win11%8.94—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.07—
Match Winner — Kamilla Rakhimova—14.00—