Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler
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Tennis·WTA Wimbledon· 2026-07-01 · 12:00

Aryna Sabalenka v McCartney Kessler

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability86%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge-2.6%
Odds1.13 2/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Aryna Sabalenka88%
McCartney Kessler13%
$411 liquidity · $0 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs McCartney Kessler's 67%
  • Aryna Sabalenka saves 63% of break points vs McCartney Kessler's 54%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win80%1.25—
McCartney Kessler to win20%5.01—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.13—
Match Winner — McCartney Kessler—8.60—