Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima
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Tennis·WTA Canadian Open· 2026-08-04 · 23:00

Aryna Sabalenka v Moyuka Uchijima

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability94%
Implied (with margin)95%
Model edge-1.0%
Odds1.05 1/20
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Aryna Sabalenka95%
Moyuka Uchijima6%
$39,018 liquidity · $32,713 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Moyuka Uchijima's 59%
  • Moyuka Uchijima wins only 42% of 2nd-serve points (Aryna Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Moyuka Uchijima double-faults on 7% of serve points vs Aryna Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win93%1.07—
Moyuka Uchijima to win7%14.65—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.07—
Match Winner — Moyuka Uchijima—18.00—