Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova
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Tennis·WTA German Open· 2026-06-19 · 09:30

Aryna Sabalenka v Nikola Bartunkova

Recommended bet
Aryna Sabalenka
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability87%
Implied (with margin)88%
Model edge-1.9%
Odds1.13 2/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Aryna Sabalenka88%
Nikola Bartunkova13%
$24,479 liquidity · $140 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Aryna Sabalenka holds serve 79% of games vs Nikola Bartunkova's 65%
  • Nikola Bartunkova wins only 44% of 2nd-serve points (Aryna Sabalenka: 51%)
  • Nikola Bartunkova double-faults on 6% of serve points vs Aryna Sabalenka's 4%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Aryna Sabalenka to win88%1.14—
Nikola Bartunkova to win12%8.12—
Match Winner — Aryna Sabalenka—1.13—
Match Winner — Nikola Bartunkova—7.00—