Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff
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Tennis·ATP US Open· 2026-09-01 · 16:10

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Jan-Lennard Struff

Recommended bet
Jan-Lennard Struff
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketMed
Win probability64%
Implied (with margin)66%
Model edge-2.9%
Odds1.52 8/15
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Camilo Ugo Carabelli36%
Jan-Lennard Struff65%
$41,682 liquidity · $16,012 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Jan-Lennard Struff holds serve 81% of games vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 74%
  • Jan-Lennard Struff serves aces on 11% of points vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 5%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Jan-Lennard Struff to win60%1.66
Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win40%2.52
Match Winner — Camilo Ugo Carabelli2.88
Match Winner — Jan-Lennard Struff1.53