Carlos Alcaraz v Jiri Lehecka
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Tennis·ATP Japan Open· 2026-10-06 · 09:00

Carlos Alcaraz v Jiri Lehecka

Recommended bet
Carlos Alcaraz
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability75%
Implied (with margin)77%
Model edge-2.0%
Odds1.30 3/10
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Carlos Alcaraz76%
Jiri Lehecka25%
$79,038 liquidity · $91,396 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Carlos Alcaraz wins 41% of return points vs Jiri Lehecka's 35%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Carlos Alcaraz to win69%1.45—
Jiri Lehecka to win31%3.21—
Match Winner — Carlos Alcaraz—1.30—
Match Winner — Jiri Lehecka—4.21—