Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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Tennis·ATP Canadian Open· 2026-08-05 · 16:10

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Recommended bet
Casper Ruud
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability72%
Implied (with margin)68%
Model edge+6.3%
Odds1.48 1/2
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Casper Ruud71%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo30%
$17,889 liquidity · $568 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Casper Ruud holds serve 84% of games vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo's 76%
Best valueCasper Ruud+5.0% EV@ 1.48highest expected value — the hero above is the most likely to land
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Casper Ruud to win71%1.41—
Juan Manuel Cerundolo to win29%3.44—
Match Winner — Casper Ruud—1.48—
Match Winner — Juan Manuel Cerundolo—3.45—