Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev
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Tennis·ATP Halle Open· 2026-06-19 · 09:30

Daniel Altmaier v Daniil Medvedev

Recommended bet
Daniil Medvedev
Match winner
De-vigged fair price from the marketHigh
Win probability82%
Implied (with margin)83%
Model edge-1.4%
Odds1.20 1/5
Crowd odds — Polymarket
Daniel Altmaier17%
Daniil Medvedev84%
$20,572 liquidity · $397 traded · data from Polymarket
Why the model leans this way
  • Daniil Medvedev double-faults on 5% of serve points vs Daniel Altmaier's 3%
  • Daniil Medvedev wins 40% of return points vs Daniel Altmaier's 34%
All markets
Match winnerProbOddsEdge
Daniil Medvedev to win85%1.18—
Daniel Altmaier to win15%6.52—
Match Winner — Daniel Altmaier—4.80—
Match Winner — Daniil Medvedev—1.23—